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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/10/07 1907Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  1845Z  CK
NOAA AMSU:  1754Z
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LOCATION...PUERTO RICO...
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ATTN WFOS...SJU...
ATTN RFCS...
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EVENT...SHOWERS/TSTMS OVER CENTRAL/N CENTRAL TO W PUERTO RICO
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...VERY WARM TOP CNVTN HAS DEVELOPED
FM CENTRAL AND NRN TO WRN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO..DISCERNIBLE IN VIS
IMAGERY BUT NOT AS EVIDENT IN IR. QUCIKSCAT AND MORE RECENT SFC OBS TO
THE E OF THE ISLAND ..AS WELL AS CU CLOUD MOTION OVER ERN PR..REVEAL
DECENT SERLY/ERLY FLOW. RECENT RAPID BUILD OF CNVTN OVER/INVOF OF CENTRAL
INTERIOR PR SUGGESTS LL CONVERGENCE..BORNE OUT BY OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
WITH S-N SFC CONVERGENCE BULLESYE ACRS CENTRAL INTERIOR SECTIONS.
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AS MENTIONED ABOVE..CNVTN IS BETTER DEPICTED IN VIS THAN
IR OVERALL. HOWEVER..THE MOST RECENT IR IMAGE AT 1845Z DOES SHOW
WARM..BUT ENHANCED..CONVECTIVE TOP OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR. VIS
IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A MERGER HAS TAKEN PLACE..WITH AN OVERSHOOTING
TOP EVIDENT. MANUAL STLT ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT OVER AN INCH OF RAIN
HAS FALLEN IN THE HALF HR ENDING 1845Z. WITH THE CONTINUED BUILD UP IN
CU/TCU/CBS OVER THE DISCUSSION AREA THUS FAR..WOULD EXPECT ADDITIONAL
CELL MERGERS TO TAKE PLACE OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HRS OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL INTERIOR/N CENTRAL/W INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. ALTHOUGH
MICROWAVE IMAGERY ANIMATIONS SHOW THAT THE HIGHEST PW'S HAVE MOVED TO
THE N..1754Z NOAA AMSU PASS INDICATES THAT PW'S IN IMMEDIATE VCNTY OF
PR ARE STILL BTWN 1.6-1.7". THUS..STILL QUITE CAPABLE OF SUPPORTING VERY
HVY RAINBURSTS. BASED ON STLT TRENDS..WOULD EXPECT ADDITIONAL TOTALS IN
EXCESS OF 2" OVER PARTS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 1869 6729 1861 6547 1756 6552 1778 6751
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