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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/04/07 1329Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-W: 1300Z		DS
NOAA AMSU: 0810Z
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LOCATION...HAWAII...
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ATTN WFOS...HFO...
ATTN RFCS...AKRFC...
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EVENT...RAPIDLY COOLING CNVTN OVER OAHU
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWS KONA LOW IS NOW CENTERED
NEAR 27N/161W..JUST NW OF KAUAI. STLT WINDS SHOW THE UPPER LOW HAS NOT
YET CUT OFF FROM THE MEAN PAC FLOW AS A FAIRLY STRONG JET IS STILL SEEN
BARRELING DOWN THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROF. THIS IS CONTINUING TO PUSH THE
LOW FARTHER SWD WITH A SLIGHT MOVEMENT TO THE E AS WELL TWDS THE WRN END
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS CHAIN. AT LEAST TWO INFLOW BANDS..AND POSSIBLY A
THIRD..CAN BE SEEN ON WV IMAGERY..THE MAIN ONE EXTENDING FROM SW OF OAHU
THROUGH THE ISLAND NEWD TO ABOUT 28N/152W AND THEN WRAPPING BACK INTO
THE UPPER LOW. THE 2ND BAND IS SEEN FROM JUST N OF KAUAI TO NEAR 26N/156W
AND THE THIRD HAS NOT DEVELOPED CNVTN YET JUST W OF KAUAI. QUIKSCAT WINDS
FROM EARLIER IN THE NIGHT SHOWED A DISTINCT MAIN STORY RIGHT NOW THOUGH
IS THE INCREASING/COOLING CELLS MOVING OVER OAHU THAT HAD WITHIN THE LAST
30 MIN HAD COLDEST CLOUD TOPS OF -67C PASSING OVER THE NWRN COAST OF THE
ISLAND. JUST IN 13Z IMAGE SHOWS THESE TOPS HAVE MOVED ACROSS TO THE NERN
SIDE OF THE ISLAND WHICH SEEMS LIKE IT HAS BEEN HIT THE HARDEST BASED ON
HYDROESTIMATOR 2" AMOUNT IN 3 HRS ENDING 1230Z. AMSU PASS AT 08Z SHOWED
GENERALLY 1.5-1.8" PW VALUES ASSCD WITH THE CNVTN BUT IT IS INTERESTING
TO NOTE THAT A SMALL AREA OF 2" PWS ARE SEEN IN THE 2ND BAND LEADING
SWD FROM KAUAI. HIGHEST AREAL AVG. RAIN RATES EVEN AT 08Z WERE PRETTY
IMPRESSIVE WITH PIXELS S AND NEAR OAHU AT 0.85-0.95"/HR AND RATES N OF
THE ISLANDS AS HIGH AS 1.38"/HR. THESE HAVE LIKELY INCREASED WITH THE
COOLING CLOUD TOPS. TRENDS HAVE BEEN FOR INCREASING CNVTN TO THE N AND
E AND NEW CELLS HAVE FORMED CLOSE TO THE WRN END OF MOLOKAI SO EXPECT
MOD TO HVY RAINS TO GET STARTED THERE OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS AS WELL AS
CONTINUED HVY RAINS OVER OAHU. ALSO S/WV EMBEDDED IN CNVTN S OF KAUAI IS
TRYING TO LIFT HVY RAIN N TO THE S SIDE OF THAT ISLAND AND COULD POSSIBLY
ENHANCE THE 2ND AND 3RD INFLOW BANDS ENOUGH TO SPARK HVY SHOWERS OVER
THE MOST WRN ISLANDS. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN 10-15 MIN FOR GRAPHICS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 2262 15965 2138 15677 2068 15754 2163 16113
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