ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/03/07 0936Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0915Z  AMSU THRU 0622Z  GG
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LOCATION...E MASSACHUSETTS...RHODE ISLAND...E CONNECTICUT...
LOCATION...E LONG ISLAND NEW YORK...
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ATTN WFOS...BOX...OKX...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...
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EVENT...EX-NOEL
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS NEARLY
COMPLETE THOUGH THE REMNANT OF NOEL CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN SOME TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS WITH A PRONOUNCED WARM CORE BUT MORE IMPORTANTLY VERY
DEEP MOISTURE. RECENT AMSU PASS AROUND 622Z HAD A HARD TIME RESOLVING
THE TPW FIELD WITHING THE SHIELD DUE TO THE HIGH CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS
BUT NEAR THE CENTER VALUES STILL RANGE AROUND 2.4-2.5"...AND PRE-COLD
FRONTAL MOISTURE PLUME IS STILL CONNECTED TO THE DEEP TROPICS WITH
VALUES OVER 2" IN THE BAND BACK TOWARD HISPANIOLA AND THE WARM FRONTAL
PLUME EXTENDING S AND SE BETWEEN 60-62W.  THIS HIGH MOISTURE IS BEING
WRAPPED INTO THE BAROCLINIC SHIELD NORTH OF THE MAIN CIRCULATION ALONG
THE CONVEYOR BELT INTO A NICELY DEVELOPING DEFORMATION ZONE ALONG THE
NW AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CYCLONE.  SIGNIFICANT COOLING IN THE
DEFORMATION ZONE INDICATES STRENGTHENING UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE FROM
INCREASING RIGHT ENTRANCE JET DYNAMICS FROM SATELLITE ESTIMATED 120KT
JET STREAK OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  CURRENTLY THIS DEFORMATION ZONE IS
ANGLING PARALLEL TO THE COAST BUT WILL AFFECT SE MA/RI AND E LONG ISLAND
WITH MODERATE TO HVY RAINFALL CAPABLE OF 1-2" TOTALS OVER THE NEXT 6HRS.
WV LOOP INDICATES A WEAK VORT FEATURE JUST OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THAT
IS AFFECTING THE TRACK OF NOEL'S VORT THROUGH A BINARY INTERACTION THAT
WILL PULL THE LOW CLOSER TO THE RI/SE MA...SO THE DEFORMATION ZONE COULD
REMAIN RELATIVELY STATIONARY SIMILAR TO THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE ZONE AT
THIS MOMENT SEEN AS THE WEDGE OF COLDER TOPS IN IR OFF SHORE OF THE VA/NC
STATE LINE.   PLEASE SEE GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF SPE AT WEB ADDRESS BELOW.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4329 6996 4120 6951 4017 7288 4108 7276
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