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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/29/07 0010Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  2345Z  CK
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LOCATION...PUERTO RICO...
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ATTN WFOS...SJU...
ATTN RFCS...
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EVENT...COLDEST CNVCTV E AND SE OF PR MOVG N; OTHER CNVTN MOVG TWD SW PR
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...0000Z IR IMAGERY SHOWS COLDEST CONVECTIVE
CLOUD TOPS..WITH HVY RAIN..E OF PUERTO RICO AND S OF ST THOMAS AND
ST JOHN..AND TO THE SW AND S OF ST CROIX. THE MOST INTENSE CELLS ARE
LOCATED TO THE W AND SW OF ST CROIX. FURTHER S..RATHER INTENSE NW-SE
BAND OF CNVTN...WITH LEADING EDGE APPX 50 MI SW OF ST CROIX..IS MOVG
NWD. IR ANIMATION INDICATES THAT SURGES OF VERY HVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE
AFFECT THE THE AREA TO THE E AND SE OF PUERTO RICO OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE ISLANDS OF VIEQUES..ST CROIX..CULEBRA..AND
MAY INCLUDE ST THOMAS/ST JOHN AS WELL.
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FOR NOW..TOPS OVER PUERTO RICO HAVE WARMED..NORMALLY INDICATING A DECR IN
RAIN RATES. HOWEVER..WARMER TOP MOD/HVY SHOWERS MAY BE OBSCURED BENEATH
THE CIRRUS CANOPY..ESP OVER ERN HALF OF THE ISLAND ATTM. WOULD ALSO BE
CONCERNED THAT SOME OF THE COLDER TOP CVNTN TO THE SE..MAY BRING ANOTHER
ROUND OF HVY RAINFALL TO SE PR LATER ON.
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OTHER CONCERN AS THE HOURS PROGRESS IS THE SW PORTION OF PUERTO
RICO. IR ANIMATION SHOWS EXTENSIVE AREA OF CNVTN MOVG NWD TWD THE SW
COAST. THIS AREA OF CNVTN APPEARS TO BE DIRECTLY ASSOCD WITH VORT WHICH
IS CENTERED APPX 70 MI SW OF CABO ROJO. THE ROTATION AROUND THE VORT IS
VERY IMPRESSIVE..AND WOULD SUSPECT THAT THIS WILL HELP TO AT MAINTAIN
THE INTENSITY OF THE CNVTN AS IS PROGRESSES TWD SW PUERTO RICO.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 1872 6746 1868 6456 1760 6446 1757 6743
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