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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/25/07 2022Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2015Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:1711Z/1533Z DMSP SSMI:1008Z/1149Z/1211Z
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LOCATION...E NORTH CAROLINA...
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ATTN WFOS...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...BEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO E NC/SE VA AND SECOND BEST INTO
WESTERN VA AND WEST VIRGINIA...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BIG PICTURE SHOWED UPPER RIDGE OFF
THE EAST COAST HAD SHIFTED NE.  AT THE SAME TIME IMPULSE ON BACK SIDE
OF UPPER LOW OUT WEST NOW NEAR THE MS-TN-AR BORDER CONTINUED TO ALLOW
RETROGRESSION OR DRIFTING TO THE WEST/NW.  AS A RESULT MOIST BAND STAYING
ABOUT STATIONARY SE FL THRU E NC AND WHERE THERE IS DIFFERENTIAL HEATING
NEAR OR NORTH OF FRONT IN CAROLINAS CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ARE PRODUCING
LOCAL HVY RAINS ESPECIALLY E BLADEN TO SAMPSON/DUPLIN COUNTY AREA AND
SLIGHTLY LARGER AREA OF CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS E NC COAST ROM PAMLICO/CRAVEN
COUNTY TO DARE COUNTY.  THIS PARTICULAR AREA COULD GET MORE HVY RAIN
THRU EVENING AS ADDITION CONVECTIVE CELLS OFFSHORE KILM AND KMHX AREA
LIFT NORTH WITH ADDITIONAL 0.75 TO 1.5 INCH RAINS IN A 30-60 MINUTE TIME
PERIOD.   MOISTURE TRANSPORT WITH PLUME ADEQUATE TO SUSTAIN CONVECTIVE
ELEMENT HERE AS DIFFERENTIAL HEATING HELPING PRODUCE THE BEST INSTABILITY
WITH WEAKENING OF CELLS AS THEY MOVE NORTH INTO MORE STABLE/LOWER PW AIR.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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NESDIS MAX HYDROESTIMATES OF 1-2 INCHES NOTED FOR THE 3HR PERIOD ENDING
1945Z ALONG E CENTRAL NC COAST.   SEE GRAPHICAL PRODUCT OF ESTIMATES ON
HOME PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3673 7580 3528 7499 3337 7781 3519 7852
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