ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/23/07 2316Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2300Z    KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...W WEST VIRGINIA...S OHIO...C AND E KENTUCKY...
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ATTN WFOS...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...
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EVENT...NEW COMMA CLOUD/BAROCLINIC LEAF PROVIDING HVY RAIN OVER
KENTUCKY...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AS BAROCLINIC LEAF CLOUD SIGNATURE
FOR STEADY MDT TO HVY RAIN HAS WEAKENED ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE
OHIO RIVER...NEW LEAF IN COMBO WITH PARTIAL COMMA CLOUD SIGNATURE HAS
DEVELOPED LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH IN KENTUCKY.  BACK EDGE IN CENTRAL TO
INTERIOR W KY HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY AND DEFORMATION AND HIGH MOISTURE
HELPING TO PRODUCE MODERATE TO HVY RAINFALL CENTRAL TO E KY AND EXTENDING
INTO WESTERN WEST VA.  THIS IS EXACTLY WHERE NARROW PW PLUME FROM FL
PANHANDLE THRU W GA...E TN INTO KY WAS ALLOWING 85H WINDS TO BRING
IN GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT THAT COULD SUSTAIN STEADY MODERATE TO HVY
RAIN THRU THE EVENING.  NARROW FOCUS DEEP MOISTURE TRANSPORT ON TOP OF
DEFORMATION INSTABILITY CAN HELP ALLOW FOR ISOLATED ONE INCH AMOUNTS
IN 3 HRS ACROSS CENTRAL TO N CENTRAL KY THRU E CENTRAL TO NE KY  AND
POSSIBLY SPILL OVER INTO EXT S OHIO AND SW AND W CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.
MOST CLOUD TOP TEMPS NO COLDER THAN -48C...BUT ISOLATED OVERSHOOTING
TOP TO -55C CAN RESULT IN ENHANCED RAINFALL THE NEXT FEW HRS ESPECIALLY
CENTRAL TO N CENTRAL KY TOWARD THE OHIO RIVER AND NE KY.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
SEE GRAPHICAL PRODUCT ANALYSIS ON HOME PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3922 8253 3785 8144 3693 8331 3680 8531 3786 8578
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