ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/18/07 1451Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1430Z  KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:0729Z DMSP SSMI:1150Z  TRMM:0925/11Z
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LOCATION...FLORIDA...S ALABAMA...
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ATTN WFOS...MOB...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...IMPRESSIVE HVY RAINS FOR URBAN TYPE FF POTENTIAL...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MICROWAVE AND GOES IMAGERY POINTING TO
THIS EVENT GULF COAST FROM EXT SE MS THRU S ALABAMA/FL PANHANDLE TO BE A
POTENTIAL URBAN TYPE FF THREAT NEXT FEW HRS.  FOCUSING IN ON S ALABAMA
AND W AND C FL PANHANDLE AND SPECIFICALLY W FL PANHANDLE WHERE NESDIS
SATELLITE ESTIMATES UP TO 3.1"/3HRS ENDING 1345Z AND THIS CONFIRMED
WITH 10KM TRMM AREAL AVERAGE RAIN RATE LATE LAST NIGHT OF 0.9"/HR JUST
OFFSHORE AND 16KM DMSP SSMI 1150Z RAIN RATES OF 1.35"/HR ALONG THE
W FL PANHANDLE COAST.  PWS GREATER THAN 2.2" AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT
ADEQUATE FOR CONTINUED HVY RAIN BURSTS/TRAINING ORIENTED SSW-ENE OR
SW TO NE THAT CAN CERTAINLY RESULT IN URBAN TYPE FF.   LAGGING FRONT
AND PW MOISTURE PLUME WITH GREATEST PUSH OF DRY AIR/LOWER PWS TOWARD
UPPER MIDWEST...RAISES CONCERNS INTO AFTERNOON FOR AREA MENTIONED ABOVE
AND AREAS JUST TO THE EAST AND NE FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...SEE GRAPHICAL PRODUCT OF ESTIMATES ON HOME
PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3104 8659 3005 8641 2999 8779 3087 8785
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