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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/14/07 2310Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:2302Z  JS
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LOCATION...NW MISSOURI/SW IOWA/SW TO N OKLAHOMA...
LOCATION...S CENT TO NE KANSAS/SE NEBRASKA
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ATTN WFOS...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE TO COOL/EXPAND HAS AREAL COVERAGE AND RAINFALL
INTENSITY INCREASE WITH CELLS EMBEDDED IN LARGER CONVECTIVE LINE.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...FOR THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS AUTOMATED
SATELLITE ESTIMATES ARE GENERALLY BETWEEN 1-2" WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
TOTALS GREATER THAN 2" POSSIBLE FOR S CENT TO CENT KS (HARPER/KINGMAN
TO MCPHERSON/MARION) AND NORTHEASTERN KS (WASHINGTON/CLAY) INTO SE
NEB(JEFFERSON/GAGE TO OTOE/CASS)/SW IA(MILLS/FREMONT). WITH CLOUD TOP
COOLING TRENDS BELIEVE STORM TOTALS COULD EASILY INCREASE INTO THE 2-3"
RANGE DURING THE NEXT HALF HOUR TO HOUR AS MORE CELL TRAINING OCCURS WITH
LINE ONLY MAKING SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESS. AS STATED IN EARLIER MESSAGE
THE LOWER FFG VALUES IN NE KS/SE NEB/SW IA ARE CERTAINLY PROBLEMATIC
GIVEN THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WHICH IS ALMOST A CERTAINTY OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT IS DEFINITELY NOT LIMITED
TO JUST THIS AREA WITH STRONG EMBEDDED CELLS IN SLOW MOVING LINE ALSO
AFFECTING REGION FROM SW OK TO CENT KS. SATELLITE IMAGERY IS NOT AS
ENHANCED WITH CELLS IN OK AND THEY ARE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE DEEPEST
MOISTURE. ALTHOUGH GIVEN THE EXTREMELY SLOW MOVEMENT TO THIS PORTION OF
THE LINE STILL EXPECT RAINFALL TOTALS TO ALSO BE AT LEAST IN THE 1-2"
RANGE FOR THE PAST 1-2 HOURS ESPECIALLY FOR DEWEY/CUSTER COUNTIES WITH
MORE CELLS DEVELOPING FARTHER TO THE SOUTH IN SW OK NOW MERGING INTO THE W
OK ACTIVITY. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH
THE BASE OF THE TROF WITH NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER NORTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND THE NW TX PANHANDLE. THIS IS YET ANOTHER FACTOR WHICH SHOULD
ENSURE CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION AND EXPANSION OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4140 9649 4133 9496 3713 9701 3449 9960 3633 9931
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