ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/14/07 0501Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0402Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...MINNESOTA...IOWA...NEBRASKA...SOUTH DAKOTA...
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ATTN WFOS...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...LBF...UNR...GLD...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...NEW BAND OF CONVECTION QUICKLY FILLING IN ACROSS SOUTHERN NEBRASKA
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BROAD AREA OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT COVERS
NRN KS AND NEBRASKA INTO SRN SD..ESP ON 300-305 THETA SFC. 8H PROFILER
DATA ACRS THE RGN SHOW 30-45 KT OVER THE ERN 2/3 OF KS WHICH IS AIDING
CNVTV DEVELOPMENT. CNVTN IS FILLING IN QUICKLY ALG THE KS/NE BORDER
FROM CO EWRD. EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONT WITH HEAVIEST RAINFALL OVER S
CENTRAL NE EXPECTED TO LIFT N AND EXPAND FURTHER TO THE E OVER NEXT CPL
OF HRS. SATELLITE DEPICTION SHOWS CLD TOPS TEMPS COOLED RAPIDLY OVER
SHERIDAN AND NORTON COUNTY KS AND HARLAN AND FRANKLIN COUNTY NE BUT
RAPID CELL MVMNT IS HELPING LIMIT RAINFALL TOTS THUS FAR. HOWEVER..AS
CNVTN FILLS IN MORE ACRS MUCH OF ERN NE EXPECT THAT REPEAT CNVTN WILL
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF ERN NE. IN ADDITION...LOW LEVEL JET WILL INCR DUE TO
DECOUPLING..ALLOWING FOR MAX 8H THETA-E ADV. THEREFORE EXPECT THAT HEAVIER
RAIN/HIGHER RAINFALL TOTS WILL OCR OVR ERN NE AND INTO WRN IA AS THE NIGHT
PROGRESSES AND INTO SUN MRNG. EXPECT THIS TO BE A PROLONGED HEAVY PRECIP
EVENT WITH UPR TROF STILL OVER THE FOUR CORNERS RGN WITH ONE VORT OVER
CENTRAL CO AND ANOTHER SWINGING THRU THE BASE OF THE TROF OVER NRN AZ.
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SEE GRAPHICAL PRODUCT ON INTERNET AT THE ADDRESS BELOW.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4380 10189 4366 9580 4006 9582 4014 10166
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