ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/13/07 0425Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 0400Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTION OVER KANSAS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CONDS OVER MUCH OF KS..ESP ALG AN AXIS
FROM ABT KGCK TO KSLN TO KLWC...ARE FAVORABLE FOR CONTD CNVTN OVERNIGHT
WITH LCLY HEAVY RAIN. SFC FNTL BNDRY IS DRAPED ACRS THE STATE PROVIDING
THERMAL/MOISTURE BOUNDARY WITH BEST SFC MOISTURE CONVERGENCE OVER SW
NR KGCK. STG LOW LEVEL JET WITH SPD CONVERGENCE ALSO NOTED IN PROFILER
DATA WITH 40-45 KTS FEEDING INTO FNTL BNDRY. GOES DERIVED PW/S SHOW GOOD
MOISTURE IN PLACE WITH PW PLUME OF 1.0-1.2" POOLED ALG FNTL ZN. LATEST
GOES DERIVED LI/S SHOW AMS STABILIZING A BIT WITH MOST INSTABILITY (-2
TO -3) IN SW KS. BEST ISENTROPIC LIFT IS ON 300 AND 305 THETA SFC. WV
LOOP SHOWING WELL DEFINED PROGRESSIVE UPR VORT DROPPING INTO SRN CA
WILL CONT INTO NW AZ BY LATER THIS MRNG. UPR DIFFLUENCE AHEAD OF THE
VORT WILL INCR OVER KS TO PROVIDE ADL SUPPORT FOR CNVTN.
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ALL THIS POINTS TO EXPANSIVE AREA OF CNVTN EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND THRU THE
MRNG HRS OVER MUCH OF KS ALG AND N OF THE AXIS NOTED ABV. WHILE INDIVIDUAL
CELL MVMNT WOULD PRECLUDE HEAVY RAIN TOTS..OPPORTUNITY FOR REPEAT AND/OR
TRAINING CNVTN WILL RAISE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND PSBL FF THREAT.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3925 10129 3908 9815 3787 9847 3792 10132
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