ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/12/07 1315Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1300Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU: 1010Z DMSP SSMI:0954Z
.
LOCATION...MAINE...
.
ATTN WFOS...CAR...GYX...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...
.
EVENT...STRONG INSTABILITY AND MODERATE MOISTURE TRANSPORT FOR HVY RAIN...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWING UPPER LOW
STRADDLING THE CENTRAL QUEBEC-ONTARIO PROVINCE BORDER AREA WITH TROUGH
EXTENDING SE TO NEAR OR JUST OFFSHORE THE NJ COAST.  SHORT WAVE VORT
ROTATING AROUND TROUGH PUSHING THRU S CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND.  MOIST
BAND BUT NOT ANYWHERE NEAR AS MOIST AS MOISTURE PLUME WELL TO THE SE
NOSING AT 35N/65W WAS WAITING FOR MORE INSTABILITY FROM SHORT WAVE TO
CONTINUE MODERATE TO HVY RAIN BURSTS THIS MORNING ACROSS MOST OF MAINE.
MOISTURE TRANSPORT NOT FROM THE TROPICS...ONLY GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT
FROM ABOUT 33N/70W THRU THE MODERATE PW PLUME INTO MAINE THAT WILL IN
COMBINATION WITH SHORT WAVE APPROACHING MAINE WILL CONTINUE HVY RAIN
BURSTS ACROSS MAINE MOST OF THIS MORNING AND POSSIBLY MOST OF THE DAY
ESPECIALLY S CENTRAL AND SE.  AMSU RAIN RATES QUITE IMPRESSIVE WITH
CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS OFFSHORE TO THE SOUTH OF MAINE AT 1010Z PASS THIS
MORNING WITH GENERAL RAIN RATES 0.4 TO 0.8 INCHES PER HR WITH ISOLATED
MAX RATES IN CONVECTIVE BURSTS 1.0 TO 1.2 INCHES PER HR AT 43N/69W AND
42.5N/67W AT THE 1010Z PASS.  THINK ELEMENTS ARE MOVING QUICK ENOUGH SO
THAT RATES WON'T REACH THESE LEVELS THIS MORNING...BUT COULD CERTAINLY
BE HIGH ENOUGH TO RESULT IN LOCALIZED PROBLEMS.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
SEE GRAPHICAL PRODUCT ON INTERNET AT THE ADDRESS BELOW...
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 4605 6879 4401 6697 4239 6913 4430 7056
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic


-