ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/08/07 0410Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0345Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...W WISCONSIN...MINNESOTA...
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ATTN WFOS...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...FIRST BATCH MOVING THRU E CENTRAL MN NOW...ADDITIONAL CONVECTION
N IA AND E NEBRASKA FOR OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING TO HEIGHTEN FF
THREAT...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...NESDIS HYDROESTIMATOR MAX 3HR AMOUNTS
IN C MN THRU 03Z WITH 2-2.2 INCH MAX.  THIS INITIAL SHOT OF CONVECTION
MOVING THRU E CENTRAL MN NOW WITH ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE AND CONVECTION
LIFTING NORTH THRU N IA AND ANOTHER SHORT WAVE IN SOUTHERLY FLOW IFTING
NORTH/NE THRU NEBRASKA.  IA AND NEBRASKA SHORT WAVES WILL FOCUS GOOD
MOISTURE TRANSPORT CONTINUING INTO E HALF OF MN AND SPILLING INTO W
WI FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.  INITIAL BURST PROBABLY WON'T
CAUSE MUCH PROBLEMS AS GUIDANCE VALUES RELATIVELY HIGH.   MOST CONCERN
IS WITH THOSE ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVES ACTING ON HIGH PW MOISTURE FOR
OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING AND HEIGHTENING FLOOD CONCERNS.  UPPER LOW
SLOWLY DRIFTING EAST INTO FAR WESTERN DAKOTA.  BEST EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF
TROUGH THRU W KS/W NEBRASKA...SO SOUTHERLY FLOW...LOW LEVEL JET SHOULD
CONTINUE VERY GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO MN OVERNIGHT FOR FOCUSING
INCRG FF POTENTIAL FOR AREA CENTERED ON E CENTRAL MN INTO
EXT W CENTRAL WI COUNTIES LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...DESPITE
CURRENT HIGH FF GUIDANCE VALUES.    WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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NESDIS HYDROESTIMATES MAX 3HR AMOUNTS OF 2.0 TO 2.2 INCHES NE STEARNS THRU
S CROW WING COUNTY...SEE GRAPHIC OF ESTIMATES AT HOME PAGE ADDRESS BELOW..
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4797 9359 4697 9088 4303 9258 4366 9571
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