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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/05/07 1148Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1130Z   KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...NW AND N CENTRAL WISCONSIN...E CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
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ATTN WFOS...MQT...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...
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EVENT...WARMING CLOUD TOPS BUT HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...GOES SOUNDER EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL TEMPS
SHOWING A SHARP GRADIENT N-S ACROSS E CENTRAL MN AND N WI...SO TRICKY AS
TO EXACT REASON FOR HEAVY RAIN PERSISTING DESPITE WARMING CLOUD TOPS.
NORMALLY WITH WARMING CLOUD TOPS...THERE SHOULD BE A DECREASING RAIN
INTENSITY...BUT NOT IF EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL TEMPS WERE ALSO WARMING WHICH
APPEARS TO BE THE CASE FROM E CENTRAL MINNESOTA THRU N CENTRAL WI.
ALSO SATELLITE CLOUD SIGNATURE NOW RESEMBLING MORE OF AN ORGANIZED
BAROCLINIC LEAF WHICH PLACES HIGHEST RAIN RATES ON SOUTHERN EDGE OF SHARP
IR TEMP GRADIENT AND WITH SLOW DRIFT NORTH AND NE AND SOME REDEVELOPING
CELLS ON THAT SOUTHERN EDGE...THERE ARE BOTH TRAINING BURSTS AND HIGHER
RAIN RATES FROM THE WARMING CLOUD TOPS.   SO MOVEMENT AND ANY ADDITIONAL
TRAINING WILL PROVIDE A HEIGHTEN FF THREAT NEXT FEW HRS FROM E CENTRAL
MN THRU NW TO N CENTRAL WI AND COULD EXTEND INTO
W UPPER MI BEFORE MID MORNING.     MOISTURE TRANSPORT STILL VERY GOOD
WITH CURRENT NOSE OF HIGHEST PW VALUES OF CLOSE TO 1.6" ADVECTING INTO E
CENTRAL MN/N WI ON 30-40KT LOW LEVEL JET.     WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4678 8836 4540 8848 4485 9317 4672 9306
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