ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/01/07 2101Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 245Z NOAA AMSU: 1807Z	DS
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LOCATION...S/E FLORIDA...
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ATTN WFOS...MFL...MLB...KEY...TBW...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...HVY COASTAL RAINS IN S AND E FL
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AS UPPER LVL TROF SHOWN ON WV SINKS
ALONG THE E COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENN..AXIS OF THE TROF HAS SHIFTED
FROM SW-NE TO MORE OF A SSW-NNE ORIENTATION. THIS SHIFT HAS CAUSED THE
TROF TO ALIGN ITSELF OVER SW TO E CENTRAL FL AND HAS ALSO ALLOWED FOR
ADDITIONAL TROPICAL MOISTURE TO BE PULLED NWD FROM THE CARIBBEAN. GOES
SOUNDER/GPS/AND AN 1807Z AMSU PASS ALL SHOW PW VALUES AOA 2" ALONG AND
JUST OFF THE SE FLORIDA COAST WITH VALUES NEAR 2.25" ASSCD WITH THE CNVTN
N OF GRAND BAHAMA THAT IS COMING INTO THE E FL COAST. AT THE TIME OF
THE AMSU PASS..MAX AREAL AVG RAIN RATES ALONG THE FL COAST AND OFFSHORE
RANGED FROM .9-1.18"/HR WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINS ONSHORE CONCENTRATED
ON COASTAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY AND THE MOST NERN FL KEYS. FOR THE LAST 3
HRS ENDING 2015Z HYDROESTIMATOR SHOWS AMOUNTS OF 2.1" JUST ONSHORE IN
SE MIAMI-DADE COUNTY WITH A MAX A MILE OR TWO OFFSHORE OF 3.1". 6 HR
AUTOMATED ESTIMATES TOTAL BETWEEN 4.5-5" ENDING AT 2015Z BUT THANKFULLY
THE STORMS SEEMED TO HAVE MOVED NEWD UP THE COAST FROM THIS AREA. WITH
STLT WINDS SHOWING THE LOW/MID LVL FLOW IS FROM THE ENE..CELLS WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH DIRECTLY INTO THE E CENTRAL FL COAST FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT 3-5 HRS. UNLIKE THE CELLS THAT AFFECTED S FL..THESE APPEAR TO BE
FASTER MOVING AS THEY ARE CAUGHT UP IN THE FAIRLY FAST LOW LVL FLOW. BUT
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF STORMS WILL PROVIDE A BARRAGE OF HVY RAINS THAT WILL
LOWER FFG FROM MIA TO N OF MLB..ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. SEE WEB
ADDRESS BELOW FOR 6 HR ESTIMATES GRAPHIC IN ABOUT 10 MIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 2865 8136 2865 7987 2495 7962 2503 8104
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