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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/30/07 1806Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 1730Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...TWC...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...
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EVENT...MOISTURE SURGING NORTH ACROSS NORTHWEST MEXICO
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AS LARGE SCALE PATTERN OVER THE EPAC W OF
BAJA BUCKLES...AS WELL DEPICTED IN WV IMAGERY...DEEP MOISTURE IS SURGING
N ACROSS SONORA AND CHIHUAHUA AND INTO SRN AZ AND NM. SFC TD/S ARE NOW
IN THE L60S ALG THE SRN AZ BORDER WITH GOES DERIVED PW/S UP TO 1.25"
JUST S OF THE BORDER IN MEXICO. SOME OF THIS MOISTURE IS ORIGINATING
FROM TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WHICH SHOULD CONT TO BE A MOISTURE SUPPLY
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS GIVEN THE TPC TRACK FORECAST.
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AMS IS ALSO BECOMING UNSTABLE OVER SE AZ AND SRN NM WITH GOES DERIVED LI/S
IN THE -2 TO -5 RANGE..ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL SOME CINH TO OVERCOME. WV
ANIMATION SHOWS SOME WEAK RIPPLES IN THE BROAD SWRLY FLOW ACRS BAJA AND
SONORA WHICH IS EXPECTED TO AID/FOCUS CNVTN TO DEVELOP THIS AFTN. ATTM
FEEL THAT BEST CHANCE FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN WILL BE OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF SANTA CRUZ..SRN PIMA AND SRN COCHISE COUNTIES IN AZ.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3248 11233 3247 10988 3087 10977 3116 11238
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