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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/28/07 1953Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1945Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...TEXAS...SW OKLAHOMA...EXT NW TEXAS
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ATTN WFOS...OUN...LUB...AMA...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...
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EVENT...OUTFLOW CONVECTION...COOLING TOPS AND DEEPENING MOISTURE...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...1930Z GOES-11 IR IMAGE HAD CLOUD TOPS WITH
ORGANIZING CONVECTION AS COOL AS -56C AND THIS COOLING NOT AS DRAMATIC
PAST HF HR AS PREVIOUS HR.  EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL TEMPS FROM 12Z RAOBS AMA
AND OUN THIS MORNING BETWEEN -55C AND -60C SO ORGANIZED CLUSTERS COULD
CONTINUE TO GIVE HEAVY RAIN TO SW OK COUNTIES GREER AND BECKHAM AND
SPILL OVER INTO JACKSON...KIOWA AND WASHITA COUNTY AND ALSO TRAIN AS
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION DEVELOPS/REDEVELOPS ON SW FLANK NEAR
SW OK/NW TX BORDER AREA.  PW MOISTURE SEEMS TO HAVE POOLED ALONG EARLIER
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WITH GOES SOUNDER PW VALUES CLOSE TO 1.5 INCHES THAT
MAY INCREASE RAIN PRODUCTION TO RATES THAT HIGH IN THE NEXT 20-60 MINUTES
AND AS A RESULT HEIGHTEN LOCALIZED FF THREAT.   LATEST 1945Z GOES-12 IR
IMAGE SHOWS A CHARACTERISTIC WARM SPOT IN COOLER TOPS THAT MAY SUGGEST
HAIL AND THAT COULD FOR THE TIME BEING INHIBIT HVY RAIN PRODUCTION IN
PARTS OF THESE STORMS.  ALTHOUGH WARMER OVERSHOOTING TOPS ON SW FLANK
STILL WILL KEEP US MONITORING FOR HVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE TRAINING CELLS
IF COMPLEX CAN FURTHER ORGANIZE.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3579 9909 3423 9915 3398 10002 3425 10010 3567 9999
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