ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/7/07 0211Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 0202Z	DS
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LOCATION...S ILLINOIS...SE MISSOURI...
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...LSX...SGF...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...ENHANCING CLOUD TOPS ACROSS SE MO
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CLOUD TOPS ALONG FRNT SITUATED THROUGH
SE MO HAVE STARTED TO COOL AS THEY WORK THEIR WAY NWD. SWRN END OF
CLUSTER HAS STARTED TO ANCHOR ITSELF JUST SE OF KTBN AND IR IMAGERY IS
BEGINNING TO SHOW THE SIGNS OF CELLS DEVELOPING SWWD ALONG THE FRONTAL
BNDRY INTO NW AR AND AGREE WITH RECENT RADAR TRENDS. CLOUD TOP TEMPS OF
-61C ARE NOW PRESENT ON THE STRONGEST PART OF THE CLUSTER OVER REYNOLDS
COUNTY. FOR THE MOST PART THOUGH..TOPS ARE STILL RELATIVELY WARM. 00Z
PW ANALYSIS SHOWS WAVE OF MOISTURE ALONG THE FRNT CENTERED OVER SGF THAT
WILL MOVE NEWD ACROSS SE MO OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS. SGF SOUNDING SHOWED PW
VALUE OF 1.25" BUT GOES SOUNDER/GPS VALUES TO THE S AND E ARE AS HIGH AS
1.5-1.75". UPPER LVL JET DYNAMICS ARE LINED UP TO CAUSE AN INCREASE IN
UPPER LVL DVG OVER THE NE AR/W TN/SE MO AREA WITH 80 KT JETMAX ORIENTED
SSW-NNE OVER IL/WI AND 80 KT W-E MAX OVER N CENTRAL TX/OK BORDER. ALSO
WITH 01Z SFC WINDS ALONG THE BNDRY IN SE MO FROM THE SW..CELLS WILL BE
SLOW TO MOVE TO THE NE WITHIN THE CLUSTER AND A FEW COULD POSSIBLY BUILD
SWWD. ESTIMATE THAT RAINFALL RATES OF 1-1.5"/HR ARE CURRENTLY OCCURRING
AND WILL CONTINUE WITHIN CLUSTER..POSSIBLY INCREASING AS WAVE OF MOISTURE
APPROACHES. 1 HR HYDROESTIMATOR AMOUNTS SHOWED A MAX OF .6-.7" OVER
PARTS OF REYNOLDS/IRON/WAYNE COUNTIES ENDING 0130Z. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN
ABOUT 10 MIN FOR GRAPHIC ANALYSIS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3833 8947 3758 8883 3683 9191 3760 9205
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