ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/26/07 2304Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2245Z	DS
.
LOCATION...TEXAS PANHANDLE...
.
ATTN WFOS...LUB...AMA...MAF...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...SLOW MOVING TSTORMS
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...TSTORMS PRESENT IN THE TX PANHANDLE
INVOF SFC LOW HAVE BEEN VERY SLOW TO MOVE EWD AWAY FROM S LAMB/N
HOCKLEY/SE BAILEY AND NE COCHRAN COUNTIES. SFC LOW IS TO THE N OF THIS
AREA JUST WNW OF WHERE NEW CELLS HAVE FORMED IN POTTER COUNTY WITH A
LOW LVL CIRCULATION SEEN IN PLOT OF THE SFC WIND FIELD JUST NE OF THE
LOW. E OF THIS LOW AND ASSCD BNRY..PW VALUES OF 1-1.2" ARE PRESENT PER
GOES SOUNDER/GPS VALUES. COLDEST CLOUD TOPS FROM THE TSTORMS CURRENTLY
CAUSING THE HVY/STNRY RAINS MENTIONED ABOVE HAVE DRIFTED TO THE ESE
NEAR LBB ALONG WITH ONE MUCH STRONGER CELL. WHILE THE ERN END OF THIS
CLUSTER APPEARS TO BE DIVING SEWD..VIS IMAGERY SHOWS WRN END IS STNRY
AND STARTING TO BACKBUILD ACROSS N COCHRAN COUNTY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
FROM STNRY CELLS WILL QUICKLY APPROACH THE 2" AVG FFG FOR 3 HRS PRESENT
OVER THESE COUNTIES WITH MANUALLY ESTIMATED RAINRATES OF 1.5-2"/HR
PROBABLE. UNTIL BNDRY PUSHES ACROSS THE N TX PANHANDLE..DO NOT BELIEVE
WILL MUCH MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS FROM THEIR ANCHORED POSITION. ALSO
TO THE N OF THESE CELSS..NEW STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM NEAR THE SFC
LOW IN AN AREA OF MOD TO STRONG SFC MOISTURE CNVG STRETCHING FROM JUST
W OF LBB TO THE ERN OK PANHANDLE. SHOULD SEE A NUMBER OF CELLS FORM IN
THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HRS..SOME OF WHICH MAY ALSO TRAIN OVER THE
SAME AREAS OR BACKBUILD. HIGHER FFG IN THE NERN PART OF THE PANHANDLE
MAY BE ABLE TO BETTER ABSORB THIS RAINFALL THOUGH. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR
GRAPHIC ANALYSIS IN ABOUT 10 MIN.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3613 10012 3285 10130 3355 10290 3599 10135
.
NNNN