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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/22/07 1122Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11: 1100Z	DS
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LOCATION...W ARIZONA...SW UTAH...NEVADA...
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ATTN WFOS...FGZ...SLC...PSR...VEF...LKN...REV...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...CNRFC...
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EVENT...MOD RAINS CONTINUING THROUGH NV..SPREADING IN NW AZ/SW UT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WHILE BY NO MEANS TORRENTIAL..RAINFALL
ASSCD WITH THE OUTER RAINBAND OF THE CLOSED UPPER LOW OFF THE CA COAST
HAS PRODUCED SOME MOD TO LOCALLY HVY RAINS IN PARTS OF NV AND SE CA. THE
OUTER BAND CONTINUES TO SPREAD OUT TO THE N AND E AS THE CIRCULATION
SLOWLY LIFTS N/NEWD TWDS THE CA MAINLAND IN RESPONSE TO THE DIGGING TROF
OFF THE PAC COAST THAT IS PROVIDING A PUSH FROM THE W. STLT WINDS SHOW
A 60 KT JETMAX TO THE SE OF THE LOW STILL HELPING TO PULL MOISTURE OUT
OF THE GULF OF CA/EXTREME NW OLD MX AND ANOTHER 60 KT JETMAX AS THE
UPPER LVL WINDS PROGRESS AROUND THE NE SIDE OF THE SYSTEM ALONG THE
CA/SW NV BORDER. PER GPES/GOES SOUNDER DATA..PW VALUES OF 1.3-1.6"
ARE STILL PRESENT IN THE NRN GULF OF CA WITH 1.2" VALUES STRETCHING
INTO SW AZ CURRENTLY. CLOUD TOPS HAVE STARTED TO COOL SLIGHTLY ALONG A
SE-NW LINE THAT RUNS PARALLEL TO THE SWRN PART OF THE NV/CA STATE BORDER
WITHIN THE 330K THETA-E AXIS. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS ALSO SHOWS THAT BEST
SFC MOISTURE CONV IS PRESENT FROM W AZ NWD INTO EXTREME SW UT JUST AHEAD
OF THE ROTATING BAND. EXPECT TO SEE AN INCREASE IN CELL TSTORM ACTIVITY
IN NW AZ/SW UT/SE NV OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS AS LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE
BEEN ON THE RISE RECENTLY IN THE AREA. HYDROESTIMATOR SHOWS UP TO 1"
OVER THE LAST 6 HRS IN NW INYO COUNTY/NV BUT BASED ON OBS AT KDRA AND
KBJN..THESE ESTIMATES ARE LIKELY .5-1" TOO LOW DUE TO THE VERY WARM
TOP/EFFICIENT RAIN PROCESSES OCCURRING WITHIN CELLS. RAINFALL RATES OF
BETWEEN .2-.4"/HR SHOULD CONTINUE AND POSSIBLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT
FEW HRS AS LOW AND MID LVL WINDS ARE SET UP FAVORABLY TO TRANSPORT THE
BETTER MOISTURE FROM SW AZ/GULF OF CA FARTHER N. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4013 11657 3585 11206 3389 11343 3908 11788
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