ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/21/07 1430Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:1415Z JS . LOCATION...SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA/SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA . ATTN WFOS...CHS...JAX... ATTN RFCS...SERFC... . EVENT...CONVECTION ALONG SE GA COAST VERY SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD GA/SC BORDER. . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...A RATHER LONG LIVED BATCH OF CONVECTION ALONG NW-SE ORIENTED INFLOW BAND OFF OF THE ATLANTIC AND FOCUSED NEAR COASTAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS BEEN MOVING ONLY VERY SLOWLY NORTHWARD DURING THE MORNING RESULTING IN LOCALIZED AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATED RAIN TOTALS OF 3-4" IN A 2-3 HOUR TIME PERIOD WITH 2-3" ESTIMATED IN 1-2 HOURS. LATEST IR/VIS IMAGERY THROUGH 1415Z SHOWS COLDEST CLOUD TOPS/OVERSHOOTING TOPS LINED UP FROM CHATHAM COUNTY OF SE GA SOUTHEASTWARD TO AT LEAST 20 MILES OFF THE COAST WITH EVEN MORE BROKEN ACTIVITY WITHIN THIS INFLOW BAND FARTHER OFFSHORE. GIVEN THIS SITUATION AND THE FACT THAT IT IS RATHER CLOSE TO FAVORABLE DEFORMATION ZONE SEEN IN WATER VAPOR LOOP BELIEVE THE CONVECTION HAS A GOOD CHANCE OF SURVIVING FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS IT VERY SLOWLY WORKS ITS WAY NORTHWARD ALONG THE SE GA COAST INTO S SC. . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 3267 8054 3149 7951 3054 8083 3173 8188 . NNNN