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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/20/07 2022Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2015Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...NW WISCONSIN...C AND N MINNESOTA...
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ATTN WFOS...DLH...MPX...FGF...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTION C AND N MN...ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY TO THE WEST...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...ONLY THING DIFFERENT FROM LAST MESSAGE IS
MAJOR CONVECTIVE COMPLEX HAS SHIFTED EAST...BUT STILL HAD REDEVELOPING
CELLS ON BACK EDGE FOR TRAINING ACTIVITY NOW CENTERED FROM MORRISON TO
PINE COUNTY THAT WILL SPILL OVER INTO NW WI NEXT 3HRS.  GUIDANCE VALUES
STILL HIGH...BUT SO IS MOISTURE...MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND INSTABILITY.
PRETTY IMPRESSIVE FOR THIS COMPLEX TO CONTINUE THRU MID AFTERNOON
IN UPPER MIDWEST...SO CAN SEE MUCH WEAKENING INTO WI THRU EVENING.
ANOTHER PESKY CELL HAS DEVELOPED TO THE SW IN VIC OF EASTERN YELLOW
MEDICINE THRU CHIPPEWA.  LOOKS LIKE IT WON'T PASS THRU AREAS THAT HAVE
GOTTEN HVY RAIN TODAY...BUT CLOUD TOP COOLING AND SOME TRAINING CELLS
COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FF DOWNSTREAM THRU EVENING.
SECONDARY MAX MORE WITH ENHANCED HIGH LEVEL VORT NORTH CENTRAL MN
ASSOCIATED WITH STRONGER OF THE TWO BROAD JET STREAMS ACROSS AREA.
THIS AREA NOW NOT OF MUCH CONCERN FOR DLH WFO AREA...BUT WILL KEEP AN
EYE ON ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OUT TO THE WEST THRU TONIGHT FOR MORE
HVY RAIN AS GFS MODEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALMOST 5/6 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE NORMAL.
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NESDIS HYDROESTIMATOR MAX 3HR AMOUNTS THRU 1930Z WAS 3 TO 3.5 INCHES
CENTERED ON TODD/MORRISON COUNTY...SEE GRAPHICAL PRODUCT OF ESTIMATES
ON HOME PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4924 9421 4878 8998 4549 9099 4517 9423 4693 9619
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