ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/20/07 1935Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1915Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...EXT W TEXAS...NEW MEXICO...
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ATTN WFOS...ABQ...EPZ...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE AND SHORT WAVES FOR HVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS... MONSOONAL MOISTURE HAS LIFTED NORTH INTO
NM AND SW TX THE PAST 24HRS AS WINDS HAVE TURNED SOUTHERLY IN RESPONSE
TO TO UPPER LOW DROPPING SOUTH ALONG THE CA COAST.  DON'T BELIEVE IVO
MOISTURE INVOLVED AND A GOOD THING AS ENOUGH SHORT WAVE SUBTROPICAL
ENERGY TO LATCH ON TO THE 150 TO 200 PERCENT OF NORMAL PW MOISTURE THAT
IS HELPING TO FUEL CONVECTIVE CELLS SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.  UPPER LEVEL FLOW GENERALLY 20-35KTS...SO TRAINING AND HVY
RAIN BURSTS...ESPECIALLY WHERE FF GUIDANCE VALUES LOW...WILL HELP ENHANCE
FF POTENTIAL.   ONE POSSIBLE MESO VORT SEEN LIFTING NORTH THRU S CENTRAL
NM AND IGNITING CONVECTION LINCOLN TO TORRANCE TO SAN MIGUEL COUNTY.
PW MOISTURE OF 1.0 TO 1.3 INCHES SURGING INTO AREA SO CAN EXPECT
POTENTIAL OF 1-1.3 INCH PER HR RATES THRU THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
ANOTHER VORT OF SUBTROPICAL NATURE JUST BEHIND IN SW NM HELPING FUEL
CONVECTIVE CELLS CENTERED ON SIERRA AND E GRANT COUNTY AND ANY HOLD
TOGETHER OF THIS ACTIVITY INTO CENTRAL NM WILL FURTHER AGGRAVATE FF
POTENTIAL FROM LATE AFTERNOON THRU EVENING.
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NESDIS HYDROESTIMATOR MAX RATE OF 0.6 TO 1.0 INCH PER 3HR CENTERED ON
LINCOLN COUNTY THRU 19Z...GRAPHICAL PRODUCT OF ESTIMATES ON HOME PAGE
AT ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3573 10614 3427 10431 3129 10571 3217 10872 3533 10756
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