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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/17/07 0610Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 0600Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...FWD...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTIVE WEDGE WITH HEAVY RAIN CENTERED NEAR EASTLAND COUNTY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...GOES-12 NOW IN ECLIPSE PERIOD THROUGH
0636Z SO USING GOES-11 FOR SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND IT HAS SHOWN A RAPID
DECREASE IN CLOUD TOP TEMPS WITH SUBSEQUENT ORGANIZATION OF CONVECTION
INTO A QUASI-CONVECTIVE WEDGE FEATURE OVER CNTRL TX.  THERE WERE SOME
INDICATIONS OF A OVERSHOOTING TOP OVER CNTRL EASTLAND COUNTY ON THE
0530Z IMAGE TO POTENTIALLY ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES.
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GOES WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION IS OCCURRING IN FAVORABLE
MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE PLUME AND ALSO VERY NEAR 85H THETA-E RIDGE
AXIS.  PROFILER WINDS INDICATE MODEST SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL INFLOW INTO
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX AND THIS SHOULD FAVOR A SLOW SOUTHERLY MOVEMENT TO
SYSTEM AND THIS DOES SEEM TO BE OCCURRING BASED ON BOTH SATELLITE AND
RADAR TRENDS.  THE COMBINATION OF SEASONABLY HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATERS,
LITTLE CLOUD LAYER SHEAR AND DEEP ABOVE 0C LAYER SHOULD FAVOR RAINFALL
RATES IN THE MOST INTENSE CORES TO BE AROUND 2.0"/HR OVER SOUTHERN
EASTLAND COUNTY WHILE POSSIBLY SPREADING INTO N BROWN AND W COMANCHE
COUNTIES OVER THE NEXT 15-30 MINUTES.
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QUICK LOOK AT 0600Z G-11 IMAGE AND IT INDICATES EVIDENCE OF AN
OVERSHOOTING TOP THAT HAS MOST LIKELY DROPPED SEWARD INTO W COMANCHE
COUNTY.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3258 9826 3244 9795 3216 9769 3209 9795 3198 9828 3186
9860 3186 9900 3205 9928 3213 9933 3235 9927 3256 9881
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