ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/18/07 2105Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: G12 2045Z CK . LOCATION...N TEXAS... . ATTN WFOS...OUN... ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC... . EVENT...SLOW MOVG MERGING TSTMS INVOF/SW OF SPS CONTINUE TO INCR . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED FURTHER IN THE PAST HALF HR..WITH OVERSHOOTING TOP EVIDENT INVOF NW CORNER OF ARCHER COUNTY/SW CORNER OF WICHITA COUNTY. MANUAL STLT EST INDICATE 3" BTWN 1915Z-2045Z. OVERALL..THE RELATIVELY SMALL AREA OF CNVTN EXTENDING FM OK/TX BORDER AREA SWWD TO BAYLOR/ARCHER COUNTIES IS EXPANDING..WHILE MOVING LTL. CU/TCU LN IS BUILDING SWWD THRU THROCKMORTON COUNTY. ON WV IMAGERY..BACK EDGE OF PW PLUME IS VERY CLOSE TO THE CNVTN..AND MOVG EWD. THIS CORRELATES WELL WITH SW-NE ZONE OF INSTABILITY PER GOES SOUNDER LI IMAGERY. THIS ZONE IS ADVANCING TWD THE CNVTN..WITH THE LEADING EDGE ALREADY THERE. THUS..INCRG INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL INCR IN THE AREA OF TSTMS. STLT TREND SUGGESTS RAINFALL OF 1-2"/HR WILL BE COMMON..WITH MAX RATES IN EXCESS OF 2"/HR WITH THIS AREA OF TSTMS. . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 3404 9918 3396 9850 3346 9876 3344 9926 . NNNN