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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/11/07 0050Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-WEST:0030Z  JS
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LOCATION...SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS/EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
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ATTN WFOS...SJT...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...SLOW MOVING BATCH OF CONVECTION CENTERED AROUND ECTOR/MIDLAND
COUNTIES APPEARS TO BE EXPANDING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH. SECONDARY AREA
OF DEVELOPING HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL OCCURRING NOW ACROSS EASTERN NEW
MEXICO WITH SEVERAL CELL MERGERS IMMINENT.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...
FOR SW TX...COLDER CLOUD TOPS WITH SMALL COMPLEX OVER SW TX HAS
BECOME ELONGATED SOUTH-NORTH WITH ESTIMATED RATES CONTINUING IN THE
1.5-1.75"/HR RANGE EXCEPT LOCALLY HIGHER TO 2"/HR NEAR CELL MERGERS. AS
A RESULT ACTIVITY HAS NOW ALSO SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO MARTIN COUNTY AS
WELL AS SOUTHWARD INTO CRANE/UPTON COUNTIES AND MAY SOON GET INTO PECOS
COUNTY. THE 0030Z GOES-WEST IMAGE SHOWS THE STRONGEST CELLS NOW GETTING
CLOSE TO THE UPTON/CRANE BORDER. TOTAL AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATES
ARE IN THE 2-3" RANGE SO FAR FOR PORTIONS OF ECTOR AND MIDLAND COUNTIES.
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FOR E NM...INCREASING CELLS ALONG COLD FRONT MOVING RAPIDLY TO THE SOUTH
ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL MERGE SHORTLY WITH OTHER CELLS WHICH FORMED
OUT AHEAD OF THIS LINE. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT FOR
AT LEAST THE NEXT HALF HOUR TO HOUR OVER S GUADALUPE/DE BACA/ROOSEVELT
COUNTIES WHILE ALSO MOVING SOUTHWARD INTO CHAVES/LINCOLN COUNTIES. BASED
ON THE 0030Z GOES-WEST IMAGE THE STRONGEST CELLS WITH VERY COLD WEDGE
SHAPED ENHANCEMENT HAVE MOVED ACROSS S GUADALUPE/N LINCOLN COUNTIES. RATES
HERE ARE ALSO ESTIMATED OVER 1.5"/HR DUE TO STRONG CELL MERGERS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3328 10405 3158 10112 2967 10310 3184 10581
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