ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/09/07 0804Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0745Z
.
LOCATION...W TEXAS...E NEW MEXICO...
.
ATTN WFOS...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...ACTIVE CONVECTION ALONG BOUNDARY PANHANDLE AND SOUTH DRIFTING
SOUTH...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WELL DEFINED BOUNDARY MOVING SOUTH AT A
QUICKER PACE IN THE PANHANDLE THAN FURTHER SOUTH WHERE UPPER LEVEL WINDS
MUCH LIGHTER AS PER LATEST SATELLITE WIND PRODUCT TRACERS.  SO NOT MUCH
CONCERNED ABOUT ANY FF THREAT COMING SOUTH THRU S TX PANHANDLE.
ANOTHER STORY OBVIOUSLY FURTHER SOUTH WITH BOUNDARY SEPARATING LOWER PWS
OF 0.5 INCHES OVER C NEW MEXICO AND 1.6 INCHES OVER INTERIOR WEST TEXAS.
BOUNDARY CURRENTLY PRODUCING HVY RAIN LEA COUNTY NM TO HOCKLEY COUNTY
TX WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOW...SLOWER THE FURTHER SOUTH ALSO WHERE
BEST SURFACE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE LIES AND CLOSER TO 850MB
THETA-E MAX.  BOUNDARY/CONVECTIVE BAND MAY TAKE ON MORE OF A W-E
ORIENTATION IN THE NEXT FEW HRS...WHICH MEANS EVEN WORSE CONDITIONS FOR E
CENTRAL LEA COUNTY INTO GAINES AND YAOKUM COUNTY OF TEXAS.  WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR...BUT LOOKS LIKE HVY TO TORRENTIAL RAIN WITH COLD TOPS COULD
STICK AROUND MOST OF THE REST OF TONIGHT.
.
LATEST NESDIS OPERATIONAL HYDROESTIMATOR GIVING 3HR MAX RAIN AMOUNT
THRU 0745Z OF 3 TO 3.7 INCHES CENTERED OVER COCHRAN WITH 1.5 TO 2.5
INCHES EXTENDING INTO LEA COUNTY AND GAINES...SEE GRAPHICAL PRODUCT OF
ESTIMATES AT HOME PAGE ADDRESS BELOW.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3600 10098 3564 10018 3209 10301 3216 10443
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic

-Graphic Depicting Features In SPE Message