ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/08/07 1903Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: G12 1845Z CK . LOCATION...OHIO...INDIANA...ILLINOIS... . ATTN WFOS...PBZ...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX... ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...NCRFC... . EVENT...SW-NE AREA OF WARM TOP CNVTN INCRG..WITH FURTHER INCR LIKELY . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WARM TOP CNVTN HAS BEEN INCRG ACRS THE DISCUSSION AREA OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HRS..ESP FM CENTRAL/S CENTRAL IL THRU CENTRAL IN THRU N CENTRAL OH. THE INCRG CNVTN IS COINCIDENT WITH LL THETA-E RIDGE AXES AND SFC CONVERGENCE..WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OVER IL/IN BEING FURTHER AIDED BY LEADING EDGE OF UPPR JET STREAK. GOES WV IMAGERY ANIMATIONS SHOWS UPPR DIFFLUENCE INCRG OVER IL/IN AS WELL. . WITH PW PLUME OF 1.5-2" PW'S LOCKED IN PLACE..ALONG WITH INCRG MID LEVEL MOISTURE PER SPREAD OF WV PLUME OVER THE AREA..HVY RAINBURSTS IN SHORT PERIODS OF TIME WILL OCCUR OVER PARTS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTN THRU THE EVENING HRS. BUT OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE AREA FM ROUGHLY ERN IL/IN..WHERE SOME CELL MERGERS ARE PSBL ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME REPEATED ROUNDS OF HVY RAIN THIS AFTN/TONIGHT. CELL MERGERS ARE ALSO PSBL OVER OH. SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 4130 8125 4023 8103 3915 8562 3801 8911 3968 9006 . NNNN