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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/08/07 1145Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1130Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...S MISSOURI...N AND C OKLAHOMA...EXT SE KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...LSX...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...COLDEST TOPS WILL BE MOVING THRU NE OK NEXT 3HRS...SW MO AND
EXT N AR THIS MORNING...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...ENHANCED HVY RAIN BAND ALONG FRONTAL
BAND STRETCHED FROM W CENTRAL OK TO NE OK/EXT SE KS THRU SW AND
S CENTRAL MO.  WESTERN EDGE WAS ERODING AWAY AND ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK
IMPULSE ON BACK EDGE OF THE ENHANCED CLOUD.  HVY RAIN BURSTS THAT HAVE
BEEN PASSING THRU N BECKHAM/ROGER MILLS FADING AWAY QUICKLY AND WILL BE
DOING THE SAME NEXT HR OR SO CENTERED ON CUSTER COUNTY.  MAIN CONCERN
TO THE ENE WITH SURROUNDING OF COLD CLOUD TOPS.  COLDEST OF THE CLOUD
TOPS THRU 1130Z CENTERED ON PAWNEE COUNTY WITH CLOUD TOP TEMP OF -71C.
EVEN A MESO CYCLONE CIRCULATION SEEN WITH THIS SMALL CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
AND WITH DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE HIGHEST RAIN RATES 2.0 INCHES OR BETTER
30-60 MINUTES.  COUNTIES IN THE PATH OF A DIRECT HIT FROM THESE STORMS
WERE: OSAGE NEXT 1-2HRS....ROGERS IN 2-4HRS.  THESE COLD TOP HVY RAIN
BURST AREAS WILL HEAD ALONG BOUNDARY AND HEIGHTEN FF NE OK/EXT SE KS
BEFORE HEADING INTO SW TO S CENTRAL MO WITH ADDITIONAL HVY RAIN CELLS
COMINGIN FROM THE WEST.  UNUSUAL TO SEE JET THIS CLOSE TO FRONTAL BOUNDARY
AND HIGH PWS...AND CLOSENESS WILL PROVIDE ADDITIONAL FORCING ON ALREADY
DEEP MOISTURE FOR VERY HVY RAIN TO CONTINUE TO FURTHER INCR AREAL EXTENT
OF FF...ESPECIALLY NE OK/EXT SE KS THRU SW MO.  ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVES
UPSTREAM W OK/EXT E TX PANHANDLE AND BACK INTO E NM INSURED CONTINUED
HVY RAIN/FF THREAT IN AREA THRU THIS EVENING.
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HYDROESTIMATOR 3HR MAX AMOUNTS OVER N CENTRAL OK COUNTY OF NOBLE OF 3-4
INCHES THRU 1115Z AND 6HR MAX AMOUNTS OF 4-6 INCHES DEWEY-CUSTER COUNTY
TO GARFIELD TO NOBLE COUNTY OK THRU 1115Z.   SEE GRAPHICAL PRODUCT OF
ESTIMATES ON WEB PAGE ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3735 9101 3690 9079 3659 9410 3585 9904 3720 9501
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