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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/08/07 0752Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0745Z  KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...SW MISSOURI...EXT NW ARKANSAS...NE OKLAHOMA...
LOCATION...EXT SE KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...TSA...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...INCREASING CONVECTION WITH BOUNDARIES...MORE CONVECTION COMING
IN FROM W AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...ACTIVE PERIOD FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT
18HRS HAS ALREAY BEGUN IN NE OK AND SW MO AND CAN SPILL OVER INTO EXT
SE KS AND NW ARKANSAS AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES.  SMALL JET LET FROM W
OKLAHOMA CONVECTION ALONG WITH DEEP MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY HELPING
INCREASE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SW MO DURING THE GOES-12 ECLIPSE PERIOD.
CONVECTIVE BAND NARROW AND ORIENTED WITH FLOW...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO
CONCENTRATE VERY HVY RAIN IN THE JASPER TO N LAWRENCE TO GREENE/WEBSTER
AREA NEXT FEW HRS.  MORE NARROW THE AREA...PROBABLY THE HIGHER RAIN
RATES AND RESULTANT FF AND EXPECT THIS AREA TO INCREASE AS ADDITIONAL
LIFT AND HVY RAIN FROM THE WEST COMES OVER THE AREA THRU THE MORNING.
SOME BACK BUILDING WILL KEEP EXT SE KS COUNTIES WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
HVY RAIN.  ACTIVITY ALREADY SPILLING OVER INTO EXT NW AR FROM CONVECTIVE
BOUNDARY OVER NE OKLAHOMA...SO INCRD AREAL EXTENT OF HVY RAINS SHOULD
CONTINUE WITH POTENTIAL FOR FF THREAT ESPECIALLY BENTON COUNTY REST OF
THE OVERNIGHT.  STALLED BOUNDARY....HOW PW MOISTURE OF GREATER THAN 150
PERCENT OF NORMAL ALONG WITH SHORT WAVE COMING SLOWLY OUT OF W OK INSURES
WAVES OF HVY RAIN AND RESULTANT FLOODING ACROSS THE 4 STATE BORDER AREA.
BOUNDARY ALREADY IN PLACE NE OK AND WILL SLOWLY DRIFT NORTH AS STRONGER
ACTIVITY FROM THE WEST MOVES OVER BOUNDARY FOR INCRG WIDESPREAD HVY RAINS
AND RESULTANT FF THREAT NE OK NORTH OF A LINE FROM S PAYNE TO SEQUOYAH
COUNTY OK.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THIS IS GOING TO BE GREATER THAN
12 HR EVENT FOR MANY SPOTS IN THE NE OK-EXT SE KS-SW MO-EXT NW AR AREA.
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PLEASE NOTE THAT 4-5 INCHES ALREADY ESTIMATED PAST 6 HRS THRU 0715Z
ON NESDIS HYDROESTIMATOR IN W CENTRAL OK VIC OF DEWEY...ELLIS...ROGER
MILLS COUNTY...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3748 9434 3730 9324 3591 9509 3597 9599
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