ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/08/07 0433Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0345Z GOES-11 0415Z KUSSELSON
.
LOCATION...W TEXAS...W TO C OKLAHOMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...CONTINUING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX W TEXAS...BREAK AWAY CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX W OKLAHOMA HEADED TO GIVE MORE RAIN TO C OKLAHOMA...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LEA COUNTY OUTFLOW CONVECTION FROM W TX
OUTFLOW NOW MOVING OVER GAINES COUNTY FOR ADDITIONAL HVY RAIN AS THE CELL
MOVES ACROSS THE COUNTY THE NEXT HR OR SO.   DEEP MOISTURE AND BOUNDARY
WILL ALLOW 1-2 INCHES TO FALL IN A 30-60 MINUTE TIME PERIOD AND CONCERN
IS THAT IT WILL AFFECT AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED HVY RAIN THIS
EVENING ACROSS DAWSON AND S TERRY COUNTY.  CURRENT OUTFLOW CONVECTION JUST
TO THE EAST FROM DAWSON TO LUBBOCK COUNTY MOVING A BIT TOO FAST AND AS A
RESULT CLOUD TOPS SHOWED SOME WARMING WHICH WOULD INDICATE A SLOW DECREASE
IN PRECIP HEADING INTO STABLE AIR MASS JUST BEHIND INITIAL CONVECTIVE
BOUNDARY WITH MCS.  SO OVERALL HVY RAIN AREA TO SHRINK...BUT WITHIN AREA
THERE WILL STILL BE POCKETS OF EXCESSIVE FOR ISOLATED FF THRU 06Z.
FURTHER NORTH...BREAKAWAY SMALLER CONVECTIVE COMPLEX NOW MOVING THRU
W OK WITH STRONGEST/COLDEST CLOUD TOPS ACROSS W CENTRAL OKLAHOMA VIC
OF ROGER MILLS/ELLIS INTO DEWEY COUNTY.  ORIENTATION OF CONVECTIVE BAND
APPEARS TO BECOMING MORE WSW TO EAST/NE WITH FLOW AND WILL ALLOW TRAINING
BURSTS AS IT MOVES TOWARD C OKLAHOMA COUNTIES THAT ARE GETTING INITIAL
BURSTS OF HVY RAIN AS FAR EAST AS MUSKOGEE AND CREEK COUNTY.
HVY RAIN AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE NARROW IN C OKLAHOMA AND FF AREA WILL
BE ISOLATED FOR THE NEXT FEW HRS BOUNDARY MOVES VERY SLOW AND CELLS
TRAINING ACROSS AREAS DEPOSITING AS MUCH AS 1-2 INCHES IN A 30-60 MINUTE
TIME PERIOD.     WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3672 9910 3560 9680 3248 10114 3251 10273 3298 10292
.
NNNN