ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/07/07 1358Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1345Z DS . LOCATION...S ILLINOIS...S MISSOURI...NW ARKANSAS...NE OKLAHOMA... LOCATION...SE KANSAS... . ATTN WFOS...PAH...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT... ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC... . EVENT...SLOW MOVING/TRAINING CELLS THROUGH MO . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LVL LOW THAT PROVIDED THE INSTABILITY FOR HVY WARM TOP RAINS YDAY OVER MO HAS PULLED NWD AND QUICKLY BECAME COMPRESSED AS NEXT SYSTEM MOVED INTO THE MIDWEST. 345K SFC THETA-E SEEN ORIENTED SW-NE AHEAD OF THE FRNT DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION AND BEGINNING TO NOSE INTO SW MO AT THIS TIME. BNDRY IS SEEN AHEAD OF FRNT WHERE CELLS IN SRN MO ARE FOCUSED UPON PER PLOT OF SFC WINDS. FIRST GOOD VIS IMAGES OF THE MORNING SHOW INCREASING CELLS IN SW MO/EXTREME NW AR/AND NE OK. THESE NEWLY INITIATING STORMS ARE FORMING FROM NEAR KTUL NEWD TO KTBN WHERE THEY ARE BECOMING LINKED WITH THE TAIL END OF THE MOD STRONG CLUSTER IN S CENTRAL MO. IN CONTRAST TO YDAYS WARM TOP RAINS WHEN THE 12Z SOUNDING AT SGF ONLY HAD AN EL OF -42C..TODAYS SOUNDING LOOKS VERY DIFFERENT WITH A VERY DEEP AND SATURATED LAYER UP TO ABOUT 400MB AND AN EL OF -72C. SO UNLIKE YDAY MORNINGS STORMS IN MO..TODAYS WILL LIKELY FEATURE MOSTLY COLD TOP CELLS PRODUCING VERY HVY RAINS IN A VERY MOIST ATMOS. PW VALUES FROM OK TO MO AND AR INTO CENTRAL IL ARE ALL ABOVE 2" WITH MOISTURE FROM THE REMAINS OF HENRIETTA IN W OK/TX PANHANDLE SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY EWD THAT WILL PLAY A MAJOR ROLE IN THE HVY RAIN EVENT LATER TODAY/TONIGHT. TRAINING AND SLOW MOVEMENT OF CELLS IN NE OK/EXTREME NW AR/SW AND S CENTRAL MO SHOULD BE THE MAIN CONCERN THIS MORNING THOUGH WITH RAIN RATES OF 1-2"/HR INCREASING SLIGHTLY AS THE TRAINING CELLS BECOME MORE NUMEROUS OVER THE SW MO AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HRS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR. . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 3907 8937 3799 8891 3530 9388 3728 9586 . NNNN