ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/07/07 0226Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0215Z   LIDDICK
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LOCATION...NE MISSOURI...SW IOWA...NE KANSAS...SE NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP...GID...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...TRAINING CONVECTION AND POTENTIAL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MANUAL SATELLITE ESTIMATES SHOWING
GENERAL 1.0"-2.0" INVOF NEMAHA COUNTY IN NE KS SINCE 2345Z...HOWEVER
ESTIMATES GIVING UP TO 3.5"-3.75" IN THE SAME TIME FRAME FOR SOME
LOCALIZED AREAS IN MARSHALL/NEMAHA COUNTIES IN THE SAME TIME FRAME.
LATEST IMAGE SHOWING MORE CONVECTION MOVING NEWD TOWAYDS THOSE COUNTIES
AND COULD PRODUCE ANOTHER 1.0"-2.0" UNTIL THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

GENERAL TREND...IR IMAGERY SUGGESTING MORE CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING
BETWEEN THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH NW KS AND THE CONVECTION OVER SW IA/NE KS
WHERE WV IMAGERY SUGGESTING SOME UPPER DIFFLUENCE AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS
WELL AS A SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO SW NE.  PROFILER DATA AND 0Z OBS SHOWING
LITTLE SHEAR AND A DECENT 850 JET OUT OF THE SW AND VERY GOOD SFC MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE PER 0200Z OBS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH A NICE 850 THETA-E
POOL OVER THE REGION.  WITH PW VALUES ALREADY IN THE 1.8"-2.0" RANGE AND
THE OTHER ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS IN PLACE...ESTIMATING THAT RAIN RATES
WILL RANGE FROM 1.0"-3.0"/HR AT TIMES..WITH THE HIGHER RATES OCCURRING
IN THE HEAVIEST OF CORES FROM MERGERS AND TRAINING CONVECTION...AS THE
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BUILD AHEAD OF THE EWD PUSHING FRONT.

CHECK WEB IN APPROX 15 MIN FOR ASSOCIATED MESSAGE GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4229 9569 4218 9381 3998 9396 3853 9645 4000 9832
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