ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/06/07 1001Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0945Z GOES-11 0800Z
NOAA AMSU:0440Z
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LOCATION...SW TEXAS...S NEW MEXICO...SE ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...EPZ...TWC...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...HENRIETTA RAIN AREA MORE DISORGANIZED...RATES HAVE LOWERED
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SATELLITE LOOP SHOWED TREND OF HENRIETTA'S
CLOUD TOPS AND RAIN AREA OVER NW TO N CENTRAL OLD MEXICO HAD BECOME MORE
DISORGANIZED WITH LOWERING RAIN RATES...BUT DON'T THINK WE ARE SEEING THE
IMMEDIATE DEMISE OF THE STORM AND STILL CONCERNED ABOUT RAIN BURSTS THAT
WILL INCREASE AND DECREASE REST OF TONIGHT AND DURING THE DAY THURSDAY
THAT GIVE HVY AMOUNTS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING.    APPEARS DEEP/HIGH PW
MOISTURE BEING LEFT BACK TO THE SOUTH AND SW OF COLDEST CLOUD TOPS AND
EVEN REMAINS OF ANY VERY WEAK LOW LEVEL CENTER AND STILL QUITE A BIT
OF ROTATION IN SOLID WARMER CLOUD TOPS OVER N CENTRAL OLD MEXICO AND
FAR SE AZ INTO EXT SW NEW MEXICO...SO THINK LOCALLY HVY RAINS STILL
POSSIBLE...JUST MAY NOT BE QUITE THE HIGH AMOUNTS THOUGHT EARLIER IN
THE EVENING.  BUT NO TIME TO LET THE OLD GUARD DOWN AS A DISTURBANCE
LIKE THIS CAN QUICKLY COOL CLOUD TOPS AND PRODUCE HVY RAIN BURSTS...SO
STILL CONCERNED FOR AREA FROM N OLD MEXICO THRU SE AZ...ESPEICALLY EXT SE
AZ INTO S NM EAST TO EXT SW TEXAS DURING THE DAY THURSDAY.  HIGHEST RAIN
AMOUNTS 3HR ENDING 0915Z FROM NESDIS HYDROESTIMATOR IN THE 2.0 TO 2.5 INCH
RANGE NEAR 30N/108W AND 30N/109.7W AREAS OF OLD MEXICO AND FOR 6HRS ENDING
AT 0915Z...4.5 TO 5 INCHES NEAR 29.7N/109.7W.   WILL CONTINUE T MONITOR...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3319 10679 3123 10559 2981 10828 3053 10944 3198 10952
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