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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/03/07 1452Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1415Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...CRP...EWX...BRO...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAINFALL FOR SOUTH TEXAS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SINCE PREVIOUS MSG FOR THIS AREA UPR
CIRC OVER W TEXAS HAS BECOME ELONGATED INTO A SHEAR AXIS/TROF WITH 2 VORT
CENTERS AS PER WV IMAGERY. ONE IS NR KCDS AND DRIFTING TO THE NW AND THE
OTHER IS IN NRN MEXICO SW OF PRESIDIO COUNTY. OVERALL..MID/UPR FLOW HAS
BACKED OVER S TX WITH SERLY FLOW OFF THE GULF IN LOWER LEVELS. SPD MAX
IS LIFTING TO THE NE ALG AN AXIS FROM TERRELL COUNTY TWRD THE KFTW AREA
WHICH WILL PUT MUCH OF S AND S CENTRAL TX IN RR QUAD FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THIS MRNG INTO THE AFTN. SPD MAX MAY HAVE BEEN AIDED BY LARGE MCS
OVER WRN MEXICO/SRN GULF OF CALIFORNIA OVERNIGHT.
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DEEP MOISTURE ALRDY IN PLACE. LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE GULF AND MID/UPR
FLOW PICKING UP MOISTURE FROM TS HENRIETTE WILL KEEP HI MOISTURE CONTENT
OVER S TX FOR AT LEAST REMAINDER OF TDY. MICROWAVE AND GPS DERIVED PW/S
INDICATING 2" TO AS MUCH AS 2.3" OVER THE RGN TO SUPPORT TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL ACCUMS OF UP TO 3" IN AN HR.
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LATEST IR/VIS IMAGERY SHOWING HEAVIEST RAINFALL IN AN ARC OF COLDER
CLD TOPS THAT HAS SURGED N AND EXTENDS FROM NUECES/KLEBERG BACK INTO
LA SALLE COUNTY. THIS CONNECTS WITH COLDER CLD TOPS THAT EXTEND JUST
OFF THE KLEBERG COAST AND FURTHER TO THE SE. THIS AREA IS WORKING ITS
WAY TWRD THE COAST AND SHOULD BRING TORRENTIAL RAIN TO KLEBERG/NUECES
NEXT 1-2 HRS. LUCKILY...THUS FAR THIS MRNG CNVTN HAS BN PROGRESSIVE AND
NOT ALLOWED FOR HEAVY RAIN TO REMAIN FOCUSED OVER ANY ONE SPOT FOR TOO
LONG. GIVEN CURRENT IR/WV TRENDS AND SUPPORT FROM SPD MAX EXPECT HEAVY
RAIN TO CONT TO LIFT N AND MOVE INTO KSAT AREA LATER THIS MRNG AND AFTN
DROPPING A QUICK 1-2".
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 2955 10036 2938 9691 2579 9712 2585 10036
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