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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/25/07 0925Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 0915Z	DS
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LOCATION...SW MISSOURI...NW ARKANSAS...ERN OKLAHOMA... KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...TSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD BRINGING MOD/HVY RAINS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SOME VERY IMPRESSIVE PRECIP AMOUNTS SEEN
FROM AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES..HYDROESTIMATOR AND AUTOESTIMATOR BOTH SHOW
A SMALL 3.4-3.5" MAX ALONG THE KS/OK BORDER IN NW OTTAWA/NE CRAIG/SW
CHEROKEE COUNTIES OVER 3 HR PERIOD ENDING 0815Z. 6 HR ESTIMATES ENDING
AT THE SAME TIME SHOW A MAX OF 4.4" IN THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREA. THESE
ESTIMATED AMOUNTS MATCH UP WELL WITH MANUEL ESTIMATES AND OBS FROM OK
MESONET. THE CELL THAT PRODUCED THIS HVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 3 HRS
HAS NOW STARTED TO MOVE INTO EXTREME SW MO WHERE IT IS STILL PRODUCING
VERY HVY RAINS BUT IS MOVING FAIRLY QUICK TO THE SE. A FEW NEW CELLS
HAVE STARTED TO FORM ON THE SW END OF THIS CLUSTER AS STORMS OVER NE
OK CONSOLIDATED AND WARMED SLIGHTLY. E/CENTRAL OK HAD PREVIOUSLY HAD
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AND THE SLOW SEWD MOVEMENT OF THESE TSTORMS WILL
ADD TO THOSE TOTALS. ESTIMATE THAT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-2" WITH A FEW
AMOUNTS UP TO 2.5" ARE POSSIBLE OVER COUNTIES SE OF TULSA OVER THE NEXT
3 HRS OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK MOISTURE CNVG OVER SE/SRN E CENTRAL
OK..JUST AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING TSTORMS.. QUICK LOOK AT 0915Z IMAGE
SHOWS COOLING CELLS OF -70C NOW ASSCD WITH TSTORMS OVER OKMULGEE/OKFUSKEE
COUNTIES. BELIEVE WILL SEE A MERGER BETWEEN THIS LINE OF STORMS AND THE
LINE TO ITS E/SE AS IT APPEARS TO BE MOVING FAST ENOUGH THAT IT WILL CATCH
UP. WITH A MERGER...COULD SEE 1" IN ADDITION TO ALREADY MENTIONED RAIN
AMOUNTS OVER MUSKOGEE/MCINTOSH WITH MERGING OF CELLS OCCURRING LIKELY IN
NEXT 30 MIN. SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW FOR 3 HR ESTIMATE GRAPHIC ENDING 0815Z.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3779 9448 3667 9339 3482 9534 3541 9752
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