ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/24/07 1905Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G11  1830Z  CK
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LOCATION...S NEW MEXICO...SE ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...TWC...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...TSTMS DEVELOPING ALONG AXES OF PW/WV PLUMES AND INSTABILITY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WARM TOP TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER
PARTS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. THE CURRENT COUNTIES AFFECTED ARE COCHISE
IN AZ AND GRANT/S SIERRA/SW CHAVES IN NM. THESE STMS HAVE FORMED
WITHIN OR ALONG NRN PORTIONS OF A FEW COINCIDENT AXES..LI AND PW/WV
PLUMES. GOES WV IMAGERY SHOWS MID LEVEL SUBTROPICAL/TROPICAL MOISTURE
CONTINUING TO SPREAD FM MX ACRS S AZ/NM. AT THE SAME TIME GOES SOUNDER
IMAGERY ANIMATION SHOWS THAT PW'S HAVE INCRD ACRS THE DISCUSSION AREA
AS WELL..WITH VALUES RANGING FM 1.4 OVER S NM TO 1.6" OVER S AZ. GOES
SOUNDER SHOWS INSTABILITY HAS INCRD AS WELL..WITH LI VALUES AROUND
-6C. AND CINH HAVING DECRD SIGNIFICANTLY.
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LATEST GOES STLT WIND PLOTS SHOW HIGH LEVEL SRLY WINDS FEEDING INTO
S AZ..THEN VEERING TO ERLY ALONG THE SE AZ/NM BORDER. AT THE SAME
TIME..LL WINDS PER SFC OBS AND MODELS SHOW SRLY COMPONENT WINDS THAT
ARE ON THE LIGHT SIDE. GOES WIND ANALYSIS ALONG WITH GOES IR AND SOUNDER
TRENDS..COMBINED WITH SFC OBS AND MODEL LL WINDS..SUGGEST THAT TSTMS WILL
CONTINUE TO INCR OVER PARTS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA THIS AFTN AND EVE AND
TEND TO BE SLOW MOVERS.  WITH COPIOUS MOISTURE SUPPLY..INCR IN NUMBER OF
TSTMS AND ANTICIPATED SLOW MOVEMENT..SOME CELL MERGERS ARE LIKELY WHICH
WILL RESULT IN VERY HVY RAINFALL IN SHORT PERIODS OF TIME. BTWN 1-2"
IN LESS THAN AN HR IS LIKELY OVER SOME LOCATIONS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3444 10467 3279 10343 3240 10617 3226 10670 3107 10795
3088 11054 3183 11085 3289 10943
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