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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/24/07 1815Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  1745Z  CK
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LOCATION...MISSOURI...ILLINOIS
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF...EAX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...INCRG CNVTN MOVG ACRS CENTRAL MO
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MCV..WHICH EMANATED FM COMPLEX INVOF OK
PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT HAS RESULTED IN REGENERATION/RE-INTENSIFICATION OF
TSTMS AS IT MOVES EWD ACRS CENTRAL MO. ATTM..THE HEAVIEST STMS ARE JUST SW
OF COU. OTHER LESS INTENSE TSTMS ARE LOCATED TO THE E AND S OF COU. THUS
FAR..TSTMS HAVE BEEN STEADILY MOVG..GENERALLY CONFINING HVY RAINFALL TO
AROUND AN HR OR LESS. HOWEVER..GIVEN THE INCR IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY OF
TSTMS..STLT IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE POSSIBILITY OF CELL MERGERS OVER PORTIONS
OF E CENTRAL MO DURING THE NEXT FEW HRS. WITH PW'S RUNNING IN THE 1.8-2"
RANGE..PER GPS AND GOES SOUNDER..AND RECENT GOES IR TRENDS...RAINBURSTS
BTWN 1-2" CAN OCCUR IN AN HR OR LESS WHERE MERGERS OCCUR. WITH GOES
SOUNDER ALSO SHOWING INSTABILITY AXIS EXTENDING THRU CENTRAL/S CENTRAL
IL..AND PROFILERS SHOWING SWRLY LL JET..PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT HVY
TSTMS WILL EVENTUALLY SPREAD ACRS BORDER INTO IL AS WELL. IF CURRENT
TREND CONTINUES TO PLAY OUT..STLT IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE STL AREA
COULD BE TARGETED FOR HVY RAINFALL IN A COUPLE OF HRS OR SO.
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OVER THE INTERMEDIATE TO SOMEWHAT LONGER TERM..TSTM DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN
INCRG OVER OK AND SW MO..WITH THE APPROACH OF THE SHORT WAVE NOW OVER
ERN CO..ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTN
AND EVENING..WITH ADDITIONAL HVY TSTMS SPREADING INTO MO TONIGHT.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3925 8913 3818 8852 3755 9288 3875 9324
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