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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/21/07 0017Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2345Z		DS
HYDROESTIMATOR THROUGH 2345Z
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LOCATION...SW IOWA...W/N KANSAS...E NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...LOCALLY HVY RAINS FROM STORMS IN KS/E NE
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...STORMS ALONG A BNDRY THROUGH THE
PANHANDLES OF TX AND OK..W/N CENTRAL KS..AND ERN NE HAVE POSED MOSTLY A
SEVERE THREAT OVER THE PAST FEW HRS. HOWEVER A FEW CELLS HAVE EITHER BEEN
ANCHORED OVER THE SAME PLACE OR HAVE BEEN TRAINING OVER COUNTIES. 3 HR
HYDROESTIMATOR AMOUNTS ENDING 2315Z SHOW A 2.4" MAX OVER SE GOVE/W TREGO
COUNTIES AND ANOTHER OF 2.4" OVER S JEWELL BUT THIS SHOULD PROBABLY BE
SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TWDS THE JEWELL/MITCHELL COUNTY BORDER TO ACCOUNT FOR
SOME CIRRUS BLOWOFF. AMOUNTS FOR TREGO/GOVE LOOK TO HAVE INCREASED SINCE
2345Z DUE TO LITTLE MOVEMENT SEEN FROM THE CELLS. NEW CELLS HAVE ALSO
FORMED ON THE TAIL END OF THE SW-NE ORIENTED LINE OF STORMS PER IR IMAGERY
SHOWING EXPANDING COLD CLOUD TOPS TO THE W INTO ROOKS COUNTY. OVERSHOOTING
TOPS SEEN ON VIS IMAGERY ARE OVER MITCHELL/CLOUD COUNTIES PRODUCING VERY
INTENSE RAIN RATES. WITH DUE ERLY SFC WINDS PER 00Z OB AT KCNK AND SRLY
SFC WIND AT KSLN..COULD SEE WWD BACKBUILDING OF CELLS TO ROOKS COUNTY
AND W-E LINE HELD IN PLACE ACROSS MITCHELL/CLOUD/OTTAWA/CLAY COUNTIES
IN NEXT HR.
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OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS BEST AREA OF MOISTURE CNVG STILL EXISTS IN
SW KS BUT ANOTHER AREA IS PRESENT IN E NE WHERE CELLS ARE MAKING
THEIR WAY EWD TO THE IA/NE BORDER. A FEW OF THESE CELLS HAVE BEEN
SLOW MOVING..PARTICULARLY OVER S COLFAX/DODGE/SAUNDERS COUNTIES. AN
OVERSHOOTING TOP IS PRESENT ON THE ANCHORED END OF THESE CELLS WITH
A TEMP OF -76C AND HAS LIKELY PRODUCED AN ESTIMATED MAX OF NEAR 2" IN
THE PAST HR INVOF NW SAUNDERS SPILLING OVER INTO THE COUNTIES N/W OF
THERE. THESE CELLS WILL BE EVENTUALLY BE MOVING INTO SWRN IA LATER ON IN
THE NIGHT AND MAY AGAIN PROVIDE A THREAT OF FF SHOULD THEY ANCHOR/TRAIN
OVER THE SAME COUNTIES TEHRE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4211 9706 4167 9532 3935 9651 3717 10134 3827 10151
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