ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/20/07 1336Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1315Z   LIDDICK
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LOCATION...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...ESTIMATES FROM ERIN REMNANTS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUING TO SHOW
VERY SLOW MOVING HEAVY CONVECTION IN SW MO INVOF LAWRENCE/DADE COUNTIES.
MANUAL/AUTOMATED ESTIMATES SHOWING GENERAL 1.0"-2.0" OVER MUCH OF SW
MO OVER THE LAST 3 HRS...WITH 2.5"-3.5" TOTALS OVER LAWRENCE/DADE/WRN
GREEN/WRN CHRISTIAN/NRN STONE COUNTIES.  GIVEN CONTINUED STRONG SW LLJ
OF 50 KTS..PER 12Z RAOB..PUMPING MOISTURE INTO THE MCS AND WITH 2.0"+
PW VALUES..ESTIMATING THAT SOME LOCATIONS IN DADE/LAWRENCE/WRN GREEN
HAVE SEEN 4.0"-4.5" OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS..WITH RATES OF 1.0"-1.5"/30
MIN AT TIMES GIVEN CLOUD TOP TEMPS(-71C) OVER THOSE COUNTIES.

EXPECTING HEAVIEST CONVECTION ON THE NRN EDGE OF THE MCS TO CONTINUE
TO SLOWLY MOVE NNEWD TOWARDS POLK COUNTY PRODUCING RAIN RATES OF
1.0"-2.0"/HR..HOWEVER FLUCTUATIONS IN SPEED/LOCATION OF THE HEAVY
CONVECTION ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TRAINING WITH THE CONVECTION AS IT
BECOMES STATIONARY AT TIMES PRODUCING 1.0"-1.5"/30 MIN RATES FOR BRIEF
PERIOD OF TIME.

CHECK WEB IN APPROX 10 MIN FOR HYDROESTIMATOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3800 9265 3705 9267 3678 9369 3748 9415 3779 9365
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