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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/19/07 2255Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2245Z	DS
AUTOESTIMATOR THROUGH 2230Z
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LOCATION...SW WISCONSIN...NW ILLINOIS...S MINNESOTA...N IOWA...
LOCATION...E NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...LOT...MKX...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...GID...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...MERGING BNDRYS TO CAUSE HVY RAINS OVER NEXT FEW HRS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...TWO DISTINCTIVE BNDRYS ARE SEEN ON
VIS IMAGERY OVER WRN IA..ONE IS A COLD FRNT THAT IS SLOWLY ADVANCING
EWD AND THE OTHER IS AN OUTFLOW BNDRY MOVING NWWD TWDS THE APPROACHING
FRNT. CELLS IN THE WARM SECTOR ENHANCED BY BOTH OF THESE BNDRYS HAVE
ALREADY STARTED TO MERGE AND THIS SHOULD CONTINUE DOWN THE LINE WITH
CELLS BUILDING SWWD FROM N CENTRAL IA TO ABOUT THE IA/NE BORDER. THERE IS
A CHANCE THAT CELLS WILL BUILD FARTHER THAN THAT INTO E CENTRAL NE BUT
GOES SOUNDER SHOWS A SMALL AREA OF DECENT CINH AND LIs OF 0 TO +2 STILL
PRESENT IN ERN NE. EXPECT HEAVIEST RAINS WILL OCCUR FROM JUST E A KSUX TO
NEAR KMCW OVER NEXT 1-3 HRS..EVENTUALLY ORIENTING THE HVY RAINS ACROSS N
CENTRAL IA AGAIN. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS VERY STRONG MOISTURE CNVG IN
CENTRAL IA AND ALSO JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRNT IN NW IA. AUTOESTIMATOR
HAS BEEN DOING A SLIGHTLY BETTER JOB OF HANDLING THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OVER IA BUT STILL SEEMS TO BE COMING UP A LITTLE LOW. OVER THE HR ENDING
2230Z..IT HAS A 1" MAX OVER S WORTH/N CERRO GORDO COUNTIES AND A .5-8"
SWATH AROUND THE MAX THAT EXTENDS FROM N WRIGHT TO MITCHELL COUNTY. A
SECOND MAX IS SEEN OVER BREMER/BLACK HAWK/BUCHANAN COUNTIES OF .7-.8"
IN THE SAME TIME PERIOD. SINCE 2215Z..ADDITIONAL RAINS OF BETWEEN .4-.8"
HAVE OCCURRED OVER THESE COUNTIES WITH WRIGHT COUNTY HAVING LIKELY
RECEIVED ANOTHER .7-1" FROM THE TSTORMS THAT JUST FORMED THERE. SEE WEB
ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC AND 1 HR ESTIMATES THROUGH 2230Z IN ABOUT 15 MIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4458 9396 4351 8990 4216 8929 4053 9671 4168 9822
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