ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/18/07 2058Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2045Z	DS
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LOCATION...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...ENHANCING CELLS ALONG SW-NE ORIENTED BNDRY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...REMNANTS OF ERIN HAS A CENTER SEEN
ON VIS IMAGERY JUST NE OF KLBB AT APPROX. 34.2N/100.8W. LOW LVL WIND
FIELD CREATED BY THE REMNANTS OF THIS STORM HAS MADE FOR A HIGHLY CNVG
ZONE STRETCHING FROM NE PECOS/CROCKETT COUNTIES TO HASKELL/JONES/AND
THROCKMORTON COUNTIES N/NE OF KABI. ALONG THIS BNDRY..CELLS HAD PREVIOUSLY
BEEN WARM TOPPED AND PRODUCING RAIN RATES OF UNDER 1"/HR. DAYTIME HEATING
HAS ALLOWED FOR STRENGTHENING OF THE CELLS ALONG THE TAIL END OF THIS
LINE AND MAY ALLOW FOR SOME BACKBUILDING OF CELLS TO THE SW. PER GOES
SOUNDER..CAPE VALUES INCREASE FROM 2000-4000 J/KG FROM REAGAN COUNTY TO
NOLAN COUNTY AND LITTLE CINH IS LEFT ALONG THE BNDRY. HOWEVER..VIS/RADAR
IMAGERY TRENDS SUGGEST THAT THIS LINE IN NARROWING SO MAY NOT BE TOO
MUCH OF A PROBLEM. ESTIMATE THAT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF .8-1.4" HAS OCCURRED
OVER CENTRAL/SRN NOLAN COUNTY OVER PAST 90 MIN. AND SOME SLIGHTLY LESSER
AMOUNTS OVER NW COKE/NW TAYLOR IN THAT SAME TIME ENDING 2045Z. ALREADY
VERY LOW FFG OVER MANY OF THE COUNTIES ALONG THIS BNDRY MEANS THAT THEY
WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED VERY CAREFULLY FOR ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IF CELLS
ALONG BNDRY CONTINUE TO BACKBUILD.
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ELSEWHERE OVER N TX/OK...RICH MOISTURE BEING LIFTED OUT OF THE GULF
IS STREAMING NWD ACROSS THE FTW/DAL AREAS INTO CENTRAL OK AND MEETING
THE TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSCD WITH REMNANTS OF ERIN THAT IS BEING PUSHED
NEWD. THIS HAS PROVIDED A GOOD SETUP FOR HVY RAINS AS CNVTN IGNITED BY
THE DAYTIME HEATING TRAINS NWD FROM DAL/FTW TO PNC/BVO ALONG THE KS/OK
BORDER. CELLS ARE ALREADY MOVING FARTHER THAN THIS INTO SRN KS BUT WHERE
THE MOISTURE MEETS IN SW/CENTRAL OK SHOULD BE THE AREA TO WATCH FOR
HEAVIEST RAINS LATER THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW
IN 10-15 MIN. FOR WEB GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3677 9673 3268 9680 3095 10181 3534 10126
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