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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/18/07 1145Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1130Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...W AND NW TEXAS...SW OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...DECREASING PRECIP JUST NE OF THE BIG BEND...BUT HVY RAIN
PERSISTING OTHER AREAS FOR CONTINUED FF THREAT...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WILL HIGHLIGHT AREAS THAT CONTINUE TO
NEED ATTENTION NEXT FEW HRS AND THAT ALONG PW MAX AREA CENTERED FROM
RUNNELS/COKE TO HASKELL/KNOX COUNTY AND WITH CIRCULATION CENTER OF THE
REMAINS OF ERIN FROM BORDEN/SCURRY TO KING/MOTLEY/FLOYD COUNTY. BEST
COOLING AND INCRD HVY RAINS CENTERED ON COKE/RUNNELS COUNTY WHERE CLOUD
TOPS COOLED 10 DEGREES.  RAIN ESTIMATED 1.0 TO 1.5 INCHES PER 30-45
MINUTES WITH THIS COOLING AND CAN SPREAD NE NEXT 1-2HRS.  AND ADDITIONAL
OVERSHOOTING TOP COOLING CENTERED ALSO IN COKE COUNTY FOR A LITTLE MORE
WIDESPREAD HVY RAIN AND FLOODING THREAT.  ALL THIS WILL HEAD FOR COUNTIES
ALREADY IN FF AND HAVE QUITE A BIT OF HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT.
OTHER AREA OF CONCERN WITH CIRCULATION WITH REMAINS OF ERIN...THESE ARE
WARM TOP CLOUD BUT EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS PROBABLY LOW WITH WARM TEMP AND
SO THESE CLOUD TOPS GENERALLY OVERSHOOTING AND ENHANCING RAINFALL...AND
CENTERED NE BORDEN...SCURRY...GARZA SPILLING OVER INTO KENT COUNTY OF
WEST CENTRAL TX AND THIS AREA OF LOCAL HVY RAIN WILL BE HEADING FOR
CURRENT SPIRLING BAND HVY RAIN AREAS OUT TO THE NORTHEAST OF THESE
COUNTIES AND WILL CONTINUE FF THREAT THESE AREA THIS MORNING.  TO THE
EAST OF HERE...WARM CLOUD TOP WAVE CLOUD HAS EMBEDDED HVY RAIN ACROSS
JONES INTO HASKELL AND E STONEWALL THAT WILL KEEP LOCAL HVY RAIN GOING
THRU 13Z WITH HEIGHTEN FF THREAT THERE AS WELL.  SO EVEN THOUGH CLOUD
TOPS HAVE WARMED AND COLDEST TOPS HAVE SHRIVELED UP JUST NORTH OF THE
BIG BEND...STILL QUITE A BIT OF CONCERN FOR HVY RAIN AND FLOODING W
CENTRAL TO NW TX NEXT FEW HRS.    WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
HYDROESTIMATES 3HR RAINFALL OF 1-2 INCHES THRU 1115Z AND 1-2 INCHES
N TOM GREEN AND NE JONES TO S BAYLOR COUNTY...SEE GRAPHICAL PRODUCT OF
ESTIMATES ON HOME PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3431 9966 3391 9776 3025 10137 3060 10192 3351 10170
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