ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/27/07 0735Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12  0715Z   KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...C TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...EWX...SJT...MAF...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...THOUGH AREAL EXTENT OF CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED...HVY RAIN SHOULD
CONTINUE...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...THOUGH OVERALL CLOUD TOP ENHANCEMENT
AND AREAL EXTENT OF COLDEST CLOUD TOPS HAVE SHRUNK...THIS IS NO
TIME TO BELIEVE HVY RAIN IS OVER FOR CENTRAL AND INTERIOR WEST TEXAS.
AND ACTUALLY THE PAST HR OR SO OUT OF ECLISPE THE IR LOOP SHOWS COOLING
TOPS IN THE COMMA CLOUD NORTH OF THE REMAINS OF THE CENTER OF ERIN.
SPIRLING BANDS AND DEFORMATION OF CLOUDS ON NORTH SIDE OF COMMA CLOUD
STILL CAN EXPERIENCE VERY HVY RAIN AND IF CONCENTRATED CAN ALLOW FOR LARGE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER A SMALL AREA...SO NO TIME TO LET YOUR GUARD DOWN
AND STILL CAN EXPECT LOCALIZED FF NEAR REMAINS OF CENTER AS IT DRIFTS
VERY SLOWLY WEST INTO MORE OF THE DEFORMATION ZONE ON THE NORTH AND NW
SIDE OF THE REMAINS.  RIGHT NOW STILL CONCERNED FOR KIMBLE THRU MENARD
COUNTY AND MENARD/MASON INTO S CONCHO COUNTY AND EXTENDING WEST INTO
SCHLEICHER/TOM GREEN COUNTY.  MOISTURE TRANSPORT STILL VERY GOOD  AS OVER
2.3" PW VALUES EXIST MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND BEING TRANSPORTED INTO
COUNTIES SPECIFIED JUST ABOVE.  CAN SEE 0.5 TO 1.0" RATES IN A 30-60
MINUTE TIME PERIOD AND 1.0 TO 2.0 INCHES OVER A 1-2HR PERIOD...THESE
RATES CAN GO HIGHER WITH FURTHER SLOWING OF THE REMAINS OF ERIN.
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HYDROESTIMATOR RATES OF 2.5 TO 3.0 INCHES FOR THE 3HRS ENDING 0715Z
OVER CONCHO AND MENARD COUNTY...SEE GRAPHIC OF ESTIMATES ON WEB PAGE AT
ADDRESS BELOW...
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WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3239 10029 3078 9902 3028 9943 2995 10105 3176 10159
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