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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/06/07 1455Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 1430Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...NEW MEXICO...ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...EPZ...TWC...PSR...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPING FROM S GRAHAM/COCHISE COUNTIES TO W
PIMA COUNTY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS CONVECTION HAS
BEEN RAPIDLY DEVELOPING AND EXPANDING OVER E PIMA COUNTY TO S GRAHAM AND
N COCHISE COUNTY.  THIS APPEARS TO BE AT LEAST IN PART DUE TO FORCING
FROM SMALL MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE VORTICITY CENTER WHICH IS CENTERED JUST
W OF SAD.  HEMISPHERIC/SYNOPTIC PATTERN ALSO SHOWS A LARGE FETCH OF MID
AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE E PACIFIC BEING DRAWN INTO THE REGION
WITH LARGER UPPER LOW OVER NW MEXICO AIDING IN DIFFLUENT FLOW OVER REGION.
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EXTREMELY ANOMALOUS MOISTURE IN PLACE THIS MORNING AS EVIDENCED BY
PRECIPITABLE WATERS OF 1.93” AND 2.08” AT TUS AND PHX RESPECTIVELY.
IN ADDITION TO THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE, VERY LITTLE SHEAR WAS EVIDENT
ON MORNING SOUNDINGS AND ABOVE 0C LAYERS WERE RUNNING BETWEEN 4.5-5.0KM
TO GREATLY ENHANCE PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCY OVER REGION.  MOST INTENSE
CONVECTION APPEARS AS THOUGH IT HAS MIGRATED TO NE PIMA COUNTY NEAR TUS
AND S GRAHAM COUNTY EAST OF SAFFORD.  BOTH OF THESE AREAS WERE FEATURING
RAPIDLY COOLING CLOUD TOPS AND POSSIBLE OVERSHOOTING TOPS AND WOULD
ESTIMATE RAINFALL RATES IN THESE AREAS TO BE WELL IN EXCESS OF 1.0”/HR.
APPEARS CLOUD DEPTHS ARE INCREASING FURTHER NORTH OVER CNTRL GRAHAM AND
E PINAL COUNTIES AND BELIEVE THAT LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL SPREAD
INTO THESE AREAS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3317 11055 3297 10929 3153 10819 3139 10977 3105 11117
3073 11198 3119 11315 3195 11261 3282 11202
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