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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/06/07 0457Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0445Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...MISSOURI...KANSAS...NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...LINE OF CONVECTION THAT HAS DEVELOPED PAST 1-2 HOURS ACROSS
NORTHEAST KANSAS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CNVTN HAS DEVELOPED IN THE WAKE OF
WELL DEFINED OLD MCS INDUCED VORT THAT IS NOW IN NW MO. THIS MAY HAVE
PLAYED A ROLE IN REINFORCING LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY ACRS THE RGN. OTHER
CONTRIBUTING FACTORS TO CNVTV DEVELOPMENT APR TO BE LO LEVEL DECOUPLING
AND A SUBTLE INCR IN INSTABILITY NOTED IN GOES DERIVED LI VALUES PAST
FEW HRS WHICH SHOW A LOCAL MAX THAT LIFTED N FROM SRN KS INTO THE LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENT ZONE.
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MOISTURE IS APCHG THE EXTREME WITH GOES SOUNDER AND GPS DERIVED AND PW/S
SHOWING MAX VALUES ARND 2.4" ALG AND S OF THE CNVTN..RUNNING AT ABT 200
PERCENT OF NORMAL. CLD TOP TEMPS HAVE QUICKLY REACHED -75C AND WITH MOIST
AMS THIS SUPPORTS HLF HR RAINFALL OF 1.25" WITH HIGHER AMNTS UP TO 1.75"
WITH MERGING OR TRAINING CELLS.
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QUICK LOOK AT 0445Z IMAGE SHOWS COLDEST CLD TOPS/HEAVIEST RAIN ACRS NRN
CLOUD..CLAY AND RILEY AS CD CLD TOPS CONT TO EXPAND.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4041 9913 4031 9500 3916 9481 3910 9907
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