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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/05/07 2222Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11: 2211Z	DS
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LOCATION...W NEW MEXICO...N/E ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...ABQ...EPZ...TWC...FGZ...PSR...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...EXPANDING CLUSTER ALONG AZ/NM BORDER...NEW CELLS IN SW NM
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CLUSTER OF CELLS OVER SRN NAVAJO/S APACHE
COUNTIES IS NOW EXPANDING TO THE E AND W ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
MOGOLLAN RIM AND THE WHITE MTNS. CELLS ARE NOW SEEN IN N CATRON CO IN
NM AND AS WITH THE STORMS TO THE W..HAVE NOT SHOWN MUCH MOVEMENT SINCE
DEVELOPING. VIS IMAGERY SHOWS ADDITIONAL CELLS HAVE FORMED IN SE COCONINO
CO AND IT LOOKS AS THOUGH A MERGER MAY OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 30-40 MIN TO
CREATE A CONTINUOUS LINE OF STORMS ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS WOULD
PRODUCE HVY RAINS OVER EXTREME SE COCONINO SE OF FLG AND W NAVAJO CO S
OF INW. SLIGHTLY DVG UPPER LVL WINDS ARE PRESENT OVER E CENTRAL AZ PER
GOES STLT WINDS WHICH WILL HELP TO ENHANCE STORMS AS THEY MOVE INTO THE
AREA FROM W NM. 1 HR AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES ENDING 2145Z SHOW 1-1.4"
OVER S NAVAJO CO AND UP TO .5" MAY HAVE OCCURRED SINCE THEN.
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NEW CELLS ARE ALSO BUILDING NWD FROM MX INVOF E HIDALGO/GRANT/W LUNA
COUNTIES IN NM. THESE STORMS ARE IN AN AREA OF STRONG SFC MOISTURE CNVG
PER LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. ESTIMATE THAT THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING RAIN RATES OF 1-1.5"/HR AND UP TO 2" WITH ANY MERGERS THAT
OCCUR. PER STLT TRENDS..MERGERS LOOKS MOST LIKELY FROM SRN GRANT NW ALONG
THE GRANT/HIDALGO CO BORDER TO THE AZ/NM BORDER. WITH DWPTS IN THE HIGH
50S TO MID 60S..POSSIBLE FOR 1.5-2.5" OVER ABOVE DESCRIBED AREA IN NEXT
1-2 HRS. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC AND ESTIMATES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3563 11201 3471 10859 3114 10764 3097 10944
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