ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/04/07 1957Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11: 1945Z	DS
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LOCATION...W NEW MEXICO...E ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...ABQ...EPZ...TWC...FGZ...PSR...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...CELLS IN SE AZ INITIATING NWD ALONG AZ/NM BORDER
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...VIS IMAGERY SHOWS CU FIELDS IN SW NM
CONVERGING WITH CELLS IN SE AZ AND INTO THE NERN PART OF THE MX STATE
OF SONORA. THIS FAIRLY CNVG AREA HAS PRODUCED MULTIPLE CELLS THAT ARE
BEGINNING TO MERGE INTO A LARGER CLUSTER PER IR IMAGERY. 1930Z IMAGE
SHOWS CELLS HAVE BECOME A SMALL CLUSTER CENTERED OVER W COCHISE COUNTY
WITH CLOUD TOP TEMPS OF -72C. CELLS WILL BE MORE PRONE TO STAY OVER THE
SAME AREAS IN COCHISE/E PIMA/SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO
FEED INTO ERN COCHISE ALONG THE CNVG AXIS. AS SAID IN SPC MCD #1643..WINDS
ARE LIGHT AND WITH HIGH PW VALUES/DWPTS IN AZ/W NM..TSTORMS WILL BE SLOW
MOVING AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HVY RAINS. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS POINTS TO
CATRON/CENTRAL CIBOLA COUNTIES IN NM AND N GREENLEE/S APACHE/S NAVAJO AS
BEST AREAS OF MOISTURE CNVG AS UPSLOPE FLOW HAS INITIATED SMALL CELLS ALL
ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THOSE AREAS. IMPULSE SEEN ON WV IMAGERY OVER
NW NM LOOKS AS THOUGH IT WILL WRAP NWD INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION OVER
THE NEXT FEW HRS LIKELY ENHANCING CNVTN ALONG THE WAY. THIS HAS ALREADY
BEEN SEEN WITH THE STRONGER CELLS IN E MCKINLEY/W CIBOLA CO NM. ESTIMATE
THAT A LITTLE OVER 1" OF RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED AS A RESULT OF THE MERGER
IN W CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTY. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN ABOUT 10 MIN FOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3677 10999 3642 10742 3071 10858 3094 11093
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