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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/03/07 0219Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  0200Z  CK
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LOCATION...N CENTRAL COLORADO...WYOMING...
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ATTN WFOS...UNR...BOU...CYS...RIW...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...4" EST LARIMER COUNTY/CO...2" OVER NATRONA COUNTY/WY...MCS
FORMATION OVER WY STILL LOOKS LIKELY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CO..BTWN 2345-02Z MANUAL STLT ESTIMATED
INDICATE 4" OF RAIN INVOF ERN/SERN LARIMER COUNTY..AS SUCCESSIVE CELL
MERGERS OCCURRED AND CLOUD TOP TEMPS COOLED TO -72C. IR AND VIS IMAGERY
AT 02Z INDICATE HVY RAIN STILL OCCURRING OVER ERN LARIMER COUNTY BUT IS
MOVE EWD. ERN EXTENT OF MOD/HVY RAIN HAS SPREAD INTO W WELD COUNTY.
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WY...PREVIOUS SPENES MENTIONED POSSIBILITY OF MCS FORMATION OVERNIGHT IN
GENERAL AREA OF SE QUARTER OF WY. MCS FORMATION NOW LOOKING LIKELY..BUT
LOCATION MAY BE A TAD FURTHER N. WHILE TSTMS THAT FORMED ALONG CO/WY
BORDER AREA HAVE BEEN SPREADING ACRS CARBON AND ALBANY COUNTY..MORE
INTENSE STMS HAVE FORMED TO THE N OVER NATRONA COUNTY..WHERE 2" OF RAIN
HAS BEEN ESTIMATED INVOF OF CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTY. OTHER STMS HAVE
FORMED OVER NRN SECTIONS OF NATRONA.  LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS
SFC CONVERGENCE ZONE EXTENDING FM NW CO TO JUST NE OF CPR/WY. HIGHEST
SFC DEW POINTS..IN THE LOW 60S..ARE FEEDING ACRS WRN NEB PANHANDLE
INTO E CENTRAL WY. PW X RH MAX IS LOCATED OVER NW NEB PANHANDLE THRU E
CENTRAL WY. THESE FACTORS WOULD TEND TO FAVOR THE MORE NRN SCENARIO OF
MCS FORMATION. IR IMAGERY ANIMATION SUGGESTS THE LIKELIHOOD THAT THE
OUTFLOWS FM THE SRN AND CENTRAL WY CNVCTV AREAS WILL MERGE.
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TAKING INTO ACCOUNT ALL OF THE ABOVE FACTORS AND STLT TRENDS..ATTM FEEL
THAT MCS FORMATION IS LIKELY..INITIALLY INVOF CARBON/NATRONA COUNTY
AREA..THEN EXPANDING TO POINTS EWD.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4367 10732 4353 10431 3999 10432 3982 10507 4119 10715
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