ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/02/07 0159Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  0145Z  CK
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LOCATION...CENTRAL TO W KANSAS...E COLORADO...
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ATTN WFOS...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...PUB...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...UPDATE TO PREVIOUS SPENES...MCS FORMATION
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...E CO..NW/W KS...CONVECTIVE AREAS
MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS SPENES OVER NW KS/E CO HAVE CONTINUED TO
EVOLVE/INTENSIFY. EACH HAS FORMED INTO AN MCS AND ARE NOW IN THE PROCESS
OF COMBINING. LATEST IMAGERY OVERSHOOTING TOPS INCRG..WITH MERGERS
OCCURRING ON EITHER SIDE OF THE BORDER. BASED ON LATEST TRENDS..ALONG
WITH COPIOUS LL MOISTURE..TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED OVER A
NUMBER OF LOCATIONS OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS. ALSO OMINOUS FOR THE AREA
IS THE PATTERN IN THE LL PROFILER DATA..WHICH SHOWS INCRD LL SERLY JET
FEEDING INTO THE AREA..PROFILER OVER S CENTRAL KS HAS INCRD SPEED TO 25
KTS. ALSO...PROFILERS ARE SHOWING LL WINDS CONVERGING OVER W KS/E CO..WITH
NERLY FLOW OVER NW KS. THUS FAR..AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES ARE INDICATING
2-3"PLUS TOTALS OVER NW KS AND ALONG THE E CO/W KS BORDER AREA. CONCERN
GOING FORWARD IS NOT ONLY FOR WRN KS...BUT FOR ERN CO AS WELL WHERE LL
ERLY COMPONENT FLOW IS SPREADING THE WRN EDGE OF THE CNVTN FURTHER WWWD.
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CENTRAL TO W CENTRAL KS...SW-NE BAND OF CNVTN HERE HAS ALSO INCRD AND
FORMED INTO MCS. EXPANSION IS TWD THE WEST WHILE MCS DRIFTS S. AUTOMATED
STL ESTIMATOR INDICATES RAINFALL TOTALS RANGING TO BTWN 3-3.5".
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SEE ESTIMATE GRAPHIC AT WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN APPX 10 MINUTES.

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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3979 10222 3906 9792 3816 9787 3798 10176 3841 10273
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