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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/02/07 0009Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  2345Z  CK
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LOCATION...NW KANSAS...E COLORADO...
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ATTN WFOS...DDC...GLD...PUB...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...INCRG TSTMS OVER NW KS..STNRY TSTMS OVER KIOWA COUNTY/CO
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SMALL CLUSTER OF TSTMS DEVELOPED
OVER NW KS AROUND 22Z..AND SINCE THEN HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN
INTENSITY..WHILE DRIFTING SWD AND EXPANDING A BIT TWD THE W. OUTFLOW
FM CONVECTIVE FRONTAL BAND TO THE N HAS BEGUN TO REACH THE CELLS OVER
NW KS..AND HAS HELPED TO INTENSIFY THIS CLUSTER. WHILE THERE IS SWD
DRIFT..IT IS PSBL THAT SOME NEW STMS COULD DEVELOP ALONG THE NRN FRINGE
AS MORE OF THE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW FM THE N PUSHES INTO NW KS.
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ALSO OF CONCERN IS THE STRNY CNVTN OVER E KIOWA COUNTY/CO..WHERE IT IS
ESTIMATED THAT OVER 1-2" HAS FALLEN IN THE PAST HR. VIS IMAGERY ANIMATION
SUGGEST THAT THERE IS A GOOD POSSIBILITY THAT THE NW KS CNVTN AND THE
STMS OVER E CO COULD LINK UP OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HRS. SW-NE CU LINES
EXTEND SWWD FM NW KS INTO CO..THRU SE YUMA/KIT CARSON COUNTIES. OUTFLOW FM
THE KIOWA COUNTY TSTMS IS BEGINNING TO EXPAND TO THE NE..WHILE OUTFLOW FM
THE CNVTN N AND NE OF GLD/KS IS SPREADING SWD. LOOKS LIKE THERE COULD BE
SOME BACKBUILDING TWD THE SW RIGHT ALONG THE CU LINES. IF THIS SCENARIO
DOES INDEED BEGIN TO UNFOLD..THEN VERY HVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT ACRS THE
AREA FM NW KS TO WRN KS/E CO..WITH MCS DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING. OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SHOWS SFC CONVERGENCE MAX EXTENDING FM E CENTRAL CO THRU W
CENTRAL KS..WHICH WOULD ALSO SUPPORT THIS SCENARIO.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3990 10047 3922 10045 3814 10199 3810 10250 3988 10209
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